GAFFNEY, MICHAEL
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canonical Β· gaffney/michael Β· 4 aliases Β· 2 outbound Β· 1 inbound
FEC candidate β GAFFNEY, MICHAEL
OTHER Β· house Β· challenger Β· FEC H2NY11108
Elections (2)
Committees (0)
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures for/against
Coordinated party expenditures
Committee assignments
Congressional staff (offices this person hires)
STOCK Act trades
Timeline
Every typed-graph event involving this entity, newest first. Each row is one edge in the influence graph; the inline strip under the row shows the counterpart's own context (a bill's latest action, a hearing's chamber + date, a filing's form type + filed date, a clip's source + excerpt) so the timeline reads like a Wikipedia citation rail.
- 2026-05-24 Β· principal committee is Gaffney Committee Β· ma_filer
- 2026-05-24 Β· joined committee Eustis Committee (treasurer) Β· ma_committee_officer
- 2026-05-24 Β· joined committee Brooks Committee (treasurer) Β· ma_committee_officer
Connected on the graph
3 typed relationships in the influence graph β 1 inbound, 2 outbound, grouped by type.
member of committee (2)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | β | Brooks Committee | β | TREASURER | ma_committee_officer |
| β | β | Eustis Committee | β | TREASURER | ma_committee_officer |
principal candidate of (1)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | β | Gaffney Committee | β | ma_filer |
Aliases (4)
| source | id | name at source | jurisdiction | confidence | linked by | linked at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ma_candidate | 15591 | Michael Gaffney | MA | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| ma_committee_officer | 15405:TREASURER | Michael Gaffney | MA | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| ma_committee_officer | 15500:TREASURER | Michael Gaffney | MA | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| fec | H2NY11108 | GAFFNEY, MICHAEL | US | bronze | backfill_0028 |
News clips about this person
Mentioned in /ask threads
Canonical: https://pac.dog/persons/62c8e72e-ba92-47c7-84ef-7aa3d68fcb33