ELLIS, MICHAEL STEVEN
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canonical Β· ellis/michael Β· 2 aliases Β· 1 outbound Β· 0 inbound
FEC candidate β ELLIS, MICHAEL STEVEN
R Β· house Β· FEC H8WI03012
Cycle financials (1)
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1980 | $1,369 | $1,366 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Elections (1)
- 1978 general house Β· WI-3 β running
Committees (0)
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures for/against
Coordinated party expenditures
Committee assignments
Congressional staff (offices this person hires)
STOCK Act trades
Timeline
Every typed-graph event involving this entity, newest first. Each row is one edge in the influence graph; the inline strip under the row shows the counterpart's own context (a bill's latest action, a hearing's chamber + date, a filing's form type + filed date, a clip's source + excerpt) so the timeline reads like a Wikipedia citation rail.
- 2026-05-24 Β· joined committee Gardner Ward 3 DEMWC (chair) Β· ma_committee_officer
Connected on the graph
1 typed relationship in the influence graph β 0 inbound, 1 outbound, grouped by type.
member of committee (1)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | β | Gardner Ward 3 DEMWC | β | CHAIR | ma_committee_officer |
Aliases (2)
| source | id | name at source | jurisdiction | confidence | linked by | linked at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ma_committee_officer | 70193:CHAIR | Michael Ellis | MA | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| fec | H8WI03012 | ELLIS, MICHAEL STEVEN | US | bronze | backfill_0028 |
News clips about this person
Mentioned in /ask threads
Canonical: https://pac.dog/persons/bc0a955f-de8d-4329-88fb-54c80ad74691