ELLSWORTH, BARRY MR.
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canonical Β· ellsworth/barry Β· 1 alias Β· 0 outbound Β· 0 inbound
FEC candidate β ELLSWORTH, BARRY MR.
D Β· president Β· FEC P60024601
Elections (13)
- 2026 general president β running
- 2026 general president β running
- 2026 general president β running
- 2026 general president β running
- 2026 general president β running
- 2026 general president β running
- 2026 general president β running
- 2026 general president β running
- 2026 general president β running
- 2026 general president β running
- 2026 general president β running
- 2026 general president β running
- 2026 general president β running
Committees (1)
- ELLSWORTH FOR PRESIDENT β principal Β· type P
Election prediction
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures for/against
Coordinated party expenditures
Top individual donors β ELLSWORTH FOR PRESIDENT
Committee assignments
Congressional staff (offices this person hires)
STOCK Act trades
Timeline
Aliases (1)
| source | id | name at source | jurisdiction | confidence | linked by | linked at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| fec | P60024601 | ELLSWORTH, BARRY MR. | US | bronze | sync_canonical_entities |
News clips about this person
Mentioned in /ask threads
Canonical: https://pac.dog/persons/188801aa-1dc3-4325-8566-645f033378a9