ELLSWORTH, BARRY MR.
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canonical · ellsworth/barry · 1 alias · 0 outbound · 0 inbound
FEC candidate — ELLSWORTH, BARRY MR.
D · president · FEC P60024601
Elections (13)
- 2026 general president — running
- 2026 general president — running
- 2026 general president — running
- 2026 general president — running
- 2026 general president — running
- 2026 general president — running
- 2026 general president — running
- 2026 general president — running
- 2026 general president — running
- 2026 general president — running
- 2026 general president — running
- 2026 general president — running
- 2026 general president — running
Committees (1)
- ELLSWORTH FOR PRESIDENT — principal · type P
Election prediction
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures for/against
Coordinated party expenditures
Top individual donors — ELLSWORTH FOR PRESIDENT
Committee assignments
Congressional staff (offices this person hires)
STOCK Act trades
Timeline
Aliases (1)
| source | id | name at source | jurisdiction | confidence | linked by | linked at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| fec | P60024601 | ELLSWORTH, BARRY MR. | US | bronze | sync_canonical_entities |