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SMITH, CHARLES LEROY

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canonical · smith/charles · 5 aliases · 4 outbound · 0 inbound

FEC candidate — SMITH, CHARLES LEROY

D · house · challenger · FEC H6IA05065

Cycle financials (1)

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
1986$0$0$0$0$0
Elections (1)
  • 1986 general house · IA-5lost_general
Committees (0)

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΔ P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures for/against
Coordinated party expenditures
Committee assignments
Congressional staff (offices this person hires)
STOCK Act trades
Timeline

Every typed-graph event involving this entity, newest first. Each row is one edge in the influence graph; the inline strip under the row shows the counterpart's own context (a bill's latest action, a hearing's chamber + date, a filing's form type + filed date, a clip's source + excerpt) so the timeline reads like a Wikipedia citation rail.

  1. 2026-05-24 · joined committee Rosenthal, Doreen - Personal Treasurer Account (treasurer) · md_committee_officer
  2. 2026-05-24 · joined committee Smith, Charles U.- Personal Treasurer Account (chair) · md_committee_officer
  3. 2026-05-24 · joined committee Selig, Patricia, Personal Treasurer Account (treasurer) · md_committee_officer
  4. 2026-05-24 · joined committee Smith, Charles U. Committee To Elect (chair) · md_committee_officer

Connected on the graph

4 typed relationships in the influence graph — 0 inbound, 4 outbound, grouped by type.

member of committee (4)
datedirentityamountrolesource
Smith, Charles U. Committee To ElectCHAIRmd_committee_officer
Smith, Charles U.- Personal Treasurer AccountCHAIRmd_committee_officer
Rosenthal, Doreen - Personal Treasurer AccountTREASURERmd_committee_officer
Selig, Patricia, Personal Treasurer AccountTREASURERmd_committee_officer
Aliases (5)
sourceidname at sourcejurisdictionconfidencelinked bylinked at
md_committee_officerfea319a1-d4bc-4955-a9c1-d0bcfb05703d:CHAIRCHARLES SMITHMDgoldsync_canonical_entities
md_committee_officer2cb2b444-fcb8-4f1d-92d8-1b5893bbeaae:TREASURERCharles SmithMDgoldsync_canonical_entities
md_committee_officerdae32d15-db25-48e9-aef4-c593fee96a1e:CHAIRCharles SmithMDgoldsync_canonical_entities
md_committee_officer2f8b9d13-d033-42d6-8398-842f149aad05:TREASURERCharles SmithMDgoldsync_canonical_entities
fecH6IA05065SMITH, CHARLES LEROYUSbronzebackfill_0028
News clips about this person
Mentioned in /ask threads

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