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ROSS, THOMAS ERNEST JR.

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canonical · ross/thomas/jr · 2 aliases · 2 outbound · 0 inbound

FEC candidate — ROSS, THOMAS ERNEST JR.

I · president · challenger · FEC P40015950

Elections (16)
  • 2024 general president · 2024-11-05running
  • 2024 general president · 2024-11-05lost_general
  • 2024 general presidentrunning
  • 2024 general presidentrunning
  • 2024 general presidentrunning
  • 2024 general presidentrunning
  • 2024 general presidentrunning
  • 2024 general presidentrunning
  • 2024 general presidentrunning
  • 2024 general presidentrunning
  • 2024 general presidentrunning
  • 2024 general presidentrunning
  • 2024 general presidentrunning
  • 2024 general presidentrunning
  • 2024 general presidentrunning
  • 2024 general presidentrunning
Committees (1)
Election prediction

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

FeatureΔ P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures for/against
Coordinated party expenditures
Top individual donors — TOM ROSS '24
Committee assignments
Congressional staff (offices this person hires)
STOCK Act trades
Timeline

Every typed-graph event involving this entity, newest first. Each row is one edge in the influence graph; the inline strip under the row shows the counterpart's own context (a bill's latest action, a hearing's chamber + date, a filing's form type + filed date, a clip's source + excerpt) so the timeline reads like a Wikipedia citation rail.

  1. 2026-05-24 · joined committee Hollingsworth, Candace Friends of (chair) · md_committee_officer
  2. 2026-05-17 · is the candidate's principal committee TOM ROSS '24 · candidate_committees

Connected on the graph

2 typed relationships in the influence graph — 0 inbound, 2 outbound, grouped by type.

member of committee (1)
datedirentityamountrolesource
Hollingsworth, Candace Friends ofCHAIRmd_committee_officer
principal candidate of (1)
datedirentityamountrolesource
TOM ROSS '24candidate_committees
Aliases (2)
sourceidname at sourcejurisdictionconfidencelinked bylinked at
md_committee_officerfc268444-2d65-4f36-89f3-b067416e68fd:CHAIRTHOMAS ROSSMDgoldsync_canonical_entities
fecP40015950ROSS, THOMAS ERNEST JR.USbronzebackfill_0028
News clips about this person
Mentioned in /ask threads

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