ROSS, THOMAS ERNEST JR.
Sign in to add to a watchlist →
canonical · ross/thomas/jr · 2 aliases · 2 outbound · 0 inbound
FEC candidate — ROSS, THOMAS ERNEST JR.
I · president · challenger · FEC P40015950
Elections (16)
- 2024 general president · 2024-11-05 — running
- 2024 general president · 2024-11-05 — lost_general
- 2024 general president — running
- 2024 general president — running
- 2024 general president — running
- 2024 general president — running
- 2024 general president — running
- 2024 general president — running
- 2024 general president — running
- 2024 general president — running
- 2024 general president — running
- 2024 general president — running
- 2024 general president — running
- 2024 general president — running
- 2024 general president — running
- 2024 general president — running
Committees (1)
- TOM ROSS '24 — principal · type P
Election prediction
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures for/against
Coordinated party expenditures
Top individual donors — TOM ROSS '24
Committee assignments
Congressional staff (offices this person hires)
STOCK Act trades
Timeline
Every typed-graph event involving this entity, newest first. Each row is one edge in the influence graph; the inline strip under the row shows the counterpart's own context (a bill's latest action, a hearing's chamber + date, a filing's form type + filed date, a clip's source + excerpt) so the timeline reads like a Wikipedia citation rail.
- 2026-05-24 · joined committee Hollingsworth, Candace Friends of (chair) · md_committee_officer
- 2026-05-17 · is the candidate's principal committee TOM ROSS '24 · candidate_committees
Connected on the graph
2 typed relationships in the influence graph — 0 inbound, 2 outbound, grouped by type.
member of committee (1)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | → | Hollingsworth, Candace Friends of | — | CHAIR | md_committee_officer |
principal candidate of (1)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | → | TOM ROSS '24 | — | candidate_committees |
Aliases (2)
| source | id | name at source | jurisdiction | confidence | linked by | linked at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| md_committee_officer | fc268444-2d65-4f36-89f3-b067416e68fd:CHAIR | THOMAS ROSS | MD | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| fec | P40015950 | ROSS, THOMAS ERNEST JR. | US | bronze | backfill_0028 |