UMINA, LEONARD J
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canonical · umina/leonard · 2 aliases · 0 outbound · 1 inbound
FEC candidate — UMINA, LEONARD J
OTHER · house · challenger · FEC H2MA03091
Elections (1)
- 1992 general house · MA-3 — lost_general
Committees (0)
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures for/against
Coordinated party expenditures
Committee assignments
Congressional staff (offices this person hires)
STOCK Act trades
Timeline
Every typed-graph event involving this entity, newest first. Each row is one edge in the influence graph; the inline strip under the row shows the counterpart's own context (a bill's latest action, a hearing's chamber + date, a filing's form type + filed date, a clip's source + excerpt) so the timeline reads like a Wikipedia citation rail.
- 2026-05-24 · principal committee is none · ma_filer
Connected on the graph
1 typed relationship in the influence graph — 1 inbound, 0 outbound, grouped by type.
principal candidate of (1)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | ← | none | — | ma_filer |
Aliases (2)
| source | id | name at source | jurisdiction | confidence | linked by | linked at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ma_candidate | 11660 | Leonard Umina | MA | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| fec | H2MA03091 | UMINA, LEONARD J | US | bronze | backfill_0028 |