BARNES, BILL

canonical · barnes/william · 3 aliases · 2 outbound · 0 inbound

FEC candidate — BARNES, BILL

D · senate · challenger · FEC S6AK00029

Elections (3)

1986 general senate · AK-S — lost_general
1986 general senate · AK-S — lost_general
1986 general senate · AK-S — lost_general

Committees (0)

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures for/against

Coordinated party expenditures

Committee assignments

Congressional staff (offices this person hires)

STOCK Act trades

Timeline

Every typed-graph event involving this entity, newest first. Each row is one edge in the influence graph; the inline strip under the row shows the counterpart's own context (a bill's latest action, a hearing's chamber + date, a filing's form type + filed date, a clip's source + excerpt) so the timeline reads like a Wikipedia citation rail.

2026-05-24 · joined committee Hadley Committee (treasurer) · ma_committee_officer
2026-05-24 · joined committee Barnes, William D. (chair) · md_committee_officer

Connected on the graph

2 typed relationships in the influence graph — 0 inbound, 2 outbound, grouped by type.

member of committee (2)

date	dir	entity	amount	role	source
—	→	Hadley Committee	—	TREASURER	ma_committee_officer
—	→	Barnes, William D.	—	CHAIR	md_committee_officer

Aliases (3)

source	id	name at source	jurisdiction	confidence	linked by	linked at
ma_committee_officer	18891:TREASURER	William Barnes	MA	gold	sync_canonical_entities	2026-05-24
md_committee_officer	25bce389-4538-4ce4-8024-6129131a47fc:CHAIR	William Barnes	MD	gold	sync_canonical_entities	2026-05-24
fec	S6AK00029	BARNES, BILL	US	bronze	backfill_0028	2026-05-17

News clips about this person

Mentioned in /ask threads

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