SPENCER, JOHN D
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canonical · spencer/john · 4 aliases · 4 outbound · 0 inbound
FEC candidate — SPENCER, JOHN D
R · senate · challenger · FEC S6NY00243
Cycle financials (11)
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $0 | $679 | $239,112 | $0 |
| 2024 | $0 | $0 | $679 | $239,112 | $0 |
| 2022 | $0 | $0 | $679 | $239,112 | $0 |
| 2020 | $0 | $0 | $679 | $239,112 | $0 |
| 2018 | $0 | $0 | $679 | $239,112 | $0 |
| 2016 | $0 | $0 | $679 | $239,112 | $0 |
| 2014 | $0 | $0 | $679 | $239,112 | $0 |
| 2012 | $0 | $0 | $679 | $239,112 | $0 |
| 2010 | $0 | $0 | $679 | $239,112 | $0 |
| 2008 | $336,950 | $525,191 | $679 | $239,112 | $330,949 |
| 2006 | $5,849,610 | $5,660,688 | $188,919 | $419,058 | $5,816,762 |
Elections (21)
- 2006 general senate · NY-S — running
- 2006 general senate · NY-S — running
- 2006 general senate · NY-S — running
- 2006 general senate · NY-S — running
- 2006 general senate · NY-S — running
- 2006 general senate · NY-S — running
- 2006 general senate · NY-S — lost_general
- 2006 general senate · NY-S — running
- 2006 general senate · NY-S — running
- 2006 general senate · NY-S — running
- 2006 general senate · NY-S — running
- 2006 general senate · NY-S — running
- 2006 general senate · NY-S — running
- 2006 general senate · NY-S — running
- 2006 general senate · NY-S — running
- 2006 general senate · NY-S — running
- 2006 general senate · NY-S — running
- 2006 general senate · NY-S — lost_general
- 2006 general senate · NY-S — lost_general
- 2006 general senate · NY-S — lost_general
- 2006 general senate · NY-S — lost_general
Committees (1)
- SPENCER FOR SENATE COMMITTEE — principal · type S
Election prediction
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures for/against
Coordinated party expenditures
Top individual donors — SPENCER FOR SENATE COMMITTEE
Committee assignments
Congressional staff (offices this person hires)
STOCK Act trades
Timeline
Every typed-graph event involving this entity, newest first. Each row is one edge in the influence graph; the inline strip under the row shows the counterpart's own context (a bill's latest action, a hearing's chamber + date, a filing's form type + filed date, a clip's source + excerpt) so the timeline reads like a Wikipedia citation rail.
- 2026-05-24 · joined committee Adams, Wes Friends of (treasurer) · md_committee_officer
- 2026-05-24 · joined committee Citizens for Amy Leahy (treasurer) · md_committee_officer
- 2026-05-24 · joined committee Citizens For A Better Government PAC (chair) · md_committee_officer
- 2026-05-17 · is the candidate's principal committee SPENCER FOR SENATE COMMITTEE · candidate_committees
Connected on the graph
4 typed relationships in the influence graph — 0 inbound, 4 outbound, grouped by type.
member of committee (3)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | → | Citizens For A Better Government PAC | — | CHAIR | md_committee_officer |
| — | → | Citizens for Amy Leahy | — | TREASURER | md_committee_officer |
| — | → | Adams, Wes Friends of | — | TREASURER | md_committee_officer |
principal candidate of (1)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | → | SPENCER FOR SENATE COMMITTEE | — | candidate_committees |
Aliases (4)
| source | id | name at source | jurisdiction | confidence | linked by | linked at |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| md_committee_officer | e642f7d2-bf5e-4b8e-89d7-58e64a6996cc:TREASURER | JOHN SPENCER | MD | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| md_committee_officer | f621ac7a-d0ca-430f-800c-a4859984edcf:CHAIR | JOHN SPENCER | MD | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| md_committee_officer | c1bd1f8d-c9cc-4517-9439-26014686840c:TREASURER | John Spencer | MD | gold | sync_canonical_entities | |
| fec | S6NY00243 | SPENCER, JOHN D | US | bronze | backfill_0028 |