STARKY, STUART
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0AZ04519- Internal id
8d765313-f416-4694-b690-d8fbb8108ba5- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AZ-04. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 804,739 |
| People | Median age | 35 |
| Income | Median household income | $82,587 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $43,750 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.433 |
| Race | White alone | 61.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 5.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 5.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 26.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 17.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 13.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 77.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 15.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 59.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 39.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.8% |
| Household | Family households | 57.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.41 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 40.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $417,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,706 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 50.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 0.8% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 4.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 64.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 20.3% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $5,784 | $7,360 | $997 | $0 | $2,932 |
Elections
- 2020 general house Β· AZ-4 β lost_general
Committees
- STARKY FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | STARKY FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |