CAMPBELL, SAMANTHA
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0CA15288- Internal id
aaf5fbcd-6040-44df-af80-71489a41b83f- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-15. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 738,509 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $149,727 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $74,964 |
| Income | In poverty | 7.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.486 |
| Race | White alone | 30.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 37.7% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 25.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 13.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 39.6% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 48.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 18.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 65.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 49.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 20.2% |
| Household | Family households | 68.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.85 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 35.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $1,414,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,849 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 51.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 11.8% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 8.9% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 2.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 95.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 55.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 7.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 22.5% |
Elections
- 2020 general house Β· CA-15 β lost_general
Committees
- CAMPBELL 2020 β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | CAMPBELL 2020 | β | candidate_committees |