EARLY, ERIC
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0CA28182- Internal id
1b8094b3-b1dc-48d2-99bb-2e3258b883a3- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-28. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 743,063 |
| People | Median age | 43 |
| Income | Median household income | $107,786 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $55,489 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.487 |
| Race | White alone | 29.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 38.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 26.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 13.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 36.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 48.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 16.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 65.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 48.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 20.5% |
| Household | Family households | 69.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.73 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 35.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $991,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,123 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 61.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 11.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 5.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 64.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 20.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $5,698 | $300,993 | $0 | $0 | $5,000 |
| 2020 | $4,134,770 | $3,839,474 | $295,295 | $22,950 | $4,017,001 |
Elections
- 2020 general house Β· CA-28 β running
Committees
- ERIC EARLY FOR CONGRESS 2020 β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-09-29 | WINRED | 24K | $-20 |
| 2021-09-29 | WINRED | 24K | $-10 |
| 2021-08-14 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2021-05-19 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | 24A | $8 |
| 2021-02-12 | WINRED | 24K | $10 |
| 2021-02-12 | WINRED | 24K | $10 |
| 2021-02-12 | WINRED | 24K | $10 |
| 2021-02-11 | WINRED | 24K | $100 |
| 2021-02-05 | WINRED | 24K | $15 |
| 2021-02-03 | WINRED | 24K | $50 |
| 2021-01-29 | WINRED | 24K | $25 |
| 2021-01-20 | WINRED | 24K | $20 |
| 2021-01-08 | WINRED | 24K | $100 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (23)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-09-29 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-29 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2021-08-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-19 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | contributed_to | $8 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-19 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $8 | 24A | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-02-12 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $10 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-02-12 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $10 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-02-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $10 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $10 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $10 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-12 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $10 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-02-11 | WINRED | contributed_to | $100 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-11 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $100 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-02-05 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $15 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-02-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $15 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-03 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $50 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-02-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $50 | pas2 | |
| 2021-01-29 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $25 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-01-29 | WINRED | contributed_to | $25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-01-20 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $20 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-01-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $20 | pas2 | |
| 2021-01-08 | WINRED | contributed_to | $100 | pas2 | |
| 2021-01-08 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $100 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | ERIC EARLY FOR CONGRESS 2020 | β | candidate_committees |