SMITH, CHRIS
R Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H0CA38132- Internal id
90927ed2-67e3-490d-a283-5663b307d763- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-38. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 740,416 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $99,648 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $39,518 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.435 |
| Race | White alone | 21.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 22.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 60.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 19.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 32.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 41.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 39.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 55.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 30.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.2% |
| Household | Family households | 78.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.21 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 37.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $766,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,992 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 69.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 8.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 9.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 3.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 73.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.1% |
Elections
- 2010 general house Β· CA-38 β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-09-09 | COVINGTON AND BURLING LLP PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (1)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-09-09 | COVINGTON AND BURLING LLP PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 |