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SMITH, JOHN ALBERT

I Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H0CA39098
Internal id
89ddb793-2f62-4118-bcdf-ccaf44b6d8f3
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-39. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation765,795
PeopleMedian age33
IncomeMedian household income$91,833
IncomePer-capita income$31,635
IncomeIn poverty11.8%
IncomeUnemployed6.6%
IncomeGini inequality index0.405
RaceWhite alone25.3%
RaceBlack alone8.8%
RaceAsian alone6.4%
RaceHispanic or Latino63.3%
RaceTwo or more races19.0%
OriginForeign-born25.1%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home47.7%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home45.5%
EducationHigh school or higher50.5%
EducationBachelor's or higher20.0%
EducationAdvanced degree7.3%
HouseholdFamily households79.1%
HouseholdAvg household size3.57
HouseholdNever married (15+)42.9%
HousingMedian home value$543,300
HousingMedian gross rent$1,943
HousingSingle-family detached70.3%
HousingBuilt before 19403.1%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)12.4%
HousingVacant units4.4%
ServiceVeterans (18+)4.1%
HealthWith a disability10.8%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband94.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet3.6%
CommuteDrove alone75.0%
CommutePublic transit1.1%
CommuteWorked from home8.7%

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

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β€”joint_fundraising_committee_ofLOS ANGELES CONSTITUTIONAL COALITION OF BILL CUSHING,DAVID MILLER,JOHN SMITH,STEPHEN SMITHβ€”candidate_committees

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