BRADLEY, JAMES P.
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0CA48156- Internal id
bfc933b3-5781-4f3d-b402-26a4c14d3921- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-33. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 764,959 |
| People | Median age | 34 |
| Income | Median household income | $86,416 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $32,262 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.425 |
| Race | White alone | 25.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 9.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 7.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 63.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 20.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 23.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 49.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 42.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 51.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 21.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 7.4% |
| Household | Family households | 78.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.40 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 42.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $514,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,766 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 68.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.8% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 11.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 3.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 75.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $1,398 | $0 |
| 2020 | $100,850 | $100,975 | $0 | $1,398 | $82,319 |
Elections
- 2020 general house Β· CA-33 β lost_general
Committees
- JAMES P BRADLEY FOR US CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-05-19 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | 24A | $8 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-05-19 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $8 | 24A | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-05-19 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | contributed_to | $8 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JAMES P BRADLEY FOR US CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |