GARDNER, CORY
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0CO04122- Internal id
80f87c44-890b-417c-9689-bcc61e66913a- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CO-04. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 756,186 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $115,239 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $57,035 |
| Income | In poverty | 6.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.441 |
| Race | White alone | 78.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 15.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 11.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 88.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 6.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 66.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 48.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 17.1% |
| Household | Family households | 71.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.62 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 26.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $602,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,855 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 75.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.9% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 4.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 67.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 23.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $28,141 | $81,751 | $995,734 | $0 | $-3,488 |
| 2020 | $26,150,170 | $26,802,263 | $1,049,344 | $0 | $19,765,358 |
| 2018 | $1,925,424 | $318,090 | $1,701,438 | $0 | $635,574 |
| 2016 | $711,316 | $894,267 | $94,103 | $0 | $277,782 |
| 2014 | $12,302,236 | $12,490,384 | $277,053 | $270,693 | $8,725,449 |
| 2012 | $2,320,196 | $1,873,983 | $465,202 | $0 | $1,182,207 |
| 2010 | $2,426,591 | $2,407,602 | $18,989 | $103,062 | $1,735,291 |
Elections
- 2010 general house Β· CO-4 β lost_general
- 2012 general house Β· CO-4 β running
- 2014 general house Β· CO-4 β lost_general
Committees
- (FRESHMAN HOLD'EM JFC) FRESHMAN HOLD'EM, STUTZMAN FOR CONGRESS, TOM REED FOR CONGRESS, DENHAM FOR CONGRESS, BENISHEK FOR CONGRESS, INC., RODNEY FOR CONGRESS, DUFFY FOR CONGRES, CHRIS GIBSON FOR... β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- CANTOR YOUNG GUNS VICTORY FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- COLORADO MAJORITY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- CORY GARDNER FOR SENATE β independent Β· type S
- CORY GARDNER FOR SENATE β principal Β· type S
- FRESHMAN CLASS JFC β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- GARDNER FOR COLORADO β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- GARDNER FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (8)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | CORY GARDNER FOR SENATE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | (FRESHMAN HOLD'EM JFC) FRESHMAN HOLD'EM, STUTZMAN FOR CONGRESS, TOM REED FOR CONGRESS, DENHAM FOR CONGRESS, BENISHEK FOR CONGRESS, INC., RODNEY FOR CONGRESS, DUFFY FOR CONGRES, CHRIS GIBSON FOR... | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | FRESHMAN CLASS JFC | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | COLORADO MAJORITY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | CANTOR YOUNG GUNS VICTORY FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | GARDNER FOR COLORADO | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | CORY GARDNER FOR SENATE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | GARDNER FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |