pac.dog pac.dog / Candidates

FISCHER, FORD

L Β· house

Sign in to add to a watchlist β†’

FEC candidate id
H0DC00231
Internal id
5db928b0-9161-40b4-a444-1c3c21c875d8
Status
challenger

Elections

No elections on file.

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

pac.dog is a free, independent, non-partisan research tool. Every candidate, committee, bill, vote, member, and nonprofit on this site is mirrored from primary U.S. government sources (FEC, congress.gov, govinfo.gov, IRS) and each state's Secretary of State / election commission β€” no third-party data vendors, no paywall, no editorial intermediation. Citations to the originating source are on every detail page.