CARNEY, JOHN
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0DE01017- Internal id
5c5da863-276f-4b14-8072-f0c903c3e0bd- Status
- incumbent
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $0 | $125 | $0 | $0 |
| 2024 | $0 | $600 | $125 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $0 | $8 | $725 | $0 | $0 |
| 2020 | $0 | $28,247 | $733 | $0 | $0 |
| 2018 | $0 | $219,706 | $28,980 | $0 | $0 |
| 2016 | $286,363 | $577,300 | $248,686 | $0 | $53,770 |
| 2014 | $1,165,084 | $1,146,817 | $539,624 | $0 | $321,902 |
| 2012 | $1,526,893 | $1,016,702 | $521,357 | $0 | $615,842 |
| 2010 | $2,140,065 | $2,115,140 | $24,925 | $0 | $1,468,816 |
Elections
No elections on file.
Committees
- JOHN CARNEY FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JOHN CARNEY FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |