SPICER, LAVERN
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0FL24205- Internal id
74903556-14d9-48fd-a6ee-889b96afccd5- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-24. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 793,181 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $64,874 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $38,200 |
| Income | In poverty | 16.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.529 |
| Race | White alone | 24.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 40.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 40.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 25.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 46.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 41.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 38.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 31.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.7% |
| Household | Family households | 62.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.69 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 40.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $407,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,759 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 32.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 8.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 19.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 2.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 86.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 9.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 66.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 5.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $5,289 | $4,255 | $0 | $1,613 | $4,956 |
| 2022 | $289,364 | $290,462 | $-1,034 | $2,442 | $268,802 |
| 2020 | $39,625 | $39,561 | $64 | $22,099 | $15,074 |
Elections
Committees
- FRIENDS TO ELECT LAVERN SPICER FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2022-12-17 | WINRED | 24K | $-108 |
| 2022-12-07 | WINRED | 24K | $-15 |
| 2022-12-04 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2022-10-07 | WINRED | 24K | $-3 |
| 2022-10-07 | WINRED | 24K | $-3 |
| 2022-09-24 | WINRED | 24K | $-4 |
| 2022-09-09 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2022-09-07 | WINRED | 24K | $-3 |
| 2022-08-31 | WINRED | 24K | $-20 |
| 2022-08-27 | WINRED | 24K | $-5,800 |
| 2022-08-26 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-08-22 | WINRED | 24K | $-10 |
| 2022-08-03 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2022-08-03 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2022-08-01 | WINRED | 24K | $-106 |
| 2022-07-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-27 |
| 2022-07-15 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-07-15 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-07-12 | WINRED | 24K | $-106 |
| 2022-07-07 | WINRED | 24K | $-15 |
| 2022-07-02 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2022-06-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-06-22 | WINRED | 24K | $-50 |
| 2022-06-16 | WINRED | 24K | $-1 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (77)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-12-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-108 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-07 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-04 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-07 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-3 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-07 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-3 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-24 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-4 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-09 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-07 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-3 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-31 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5,800 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-26 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-01 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-106 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-27 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-106 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-07 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-22 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-16 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-09 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-19 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-11 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-06 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-27 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-11 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-11 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-04 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-12 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-31 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-25 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-11 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-27 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-108 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-13 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-18 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-27 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-27 | pas2 | |
| 2021-11-13 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2021-11-10 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-50 | pas2 | |
| 2021-11-10 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2021-11-10 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-45 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-25 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-8 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-25 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-8 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-18 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-18 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-18 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-18 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-4 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-17 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $50 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $50 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-30 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $50 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-06-30 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $50 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-06-16 | WINRED | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $15 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-06-16 | WINRED | contributed_to | $15 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-19 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | contributed_to | $8 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-19 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $8 | 24A | fec_pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | FRIENDS TO ELECT LAVERN SPICER FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |