ALMONORD, VALBRUN
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0GA03074- Internal id
b05f6339-925f-48b9-9927-6c5fd50c5f99- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), GA-03. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 785,402 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $78,956 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $40,025 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.461 |
| Race | White alone | 64.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 23.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 6.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 5.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 92.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 5.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 30.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.5% |
| Household | Family households | 71.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.68 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $291,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,189 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 78.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 77.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.7% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2024 | $44,722 | $43,134 | $-4,635 | $0 | $24,722 |
| 2022 | $76,891 | $54,967 | $36 | $10,000 | $17,246 |
| 2020 | $40,762 | $36,946 | $0 | $0 | $20,762 |
Elections
- 2020 general house Β· GA-3 β lost_general
- 2022 general house Β· GA-3 β lost_general
- 2024 general house Β· GA-3 β lost_general
Committees
- COMMITTEE TO ELCT ALMONORD β principal Β· type H
- COMMITTEE TO ELECT ALMONORD β principal Β· type H
- COMMITTEE TO ELECT ALMONORD FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| β | #VOTEPROCHOICE PAC | 24E | $185 |
| 2022-10-20 | #VOTEPROCHOICE PAC | 24E | $185 |
| 2022-10-06 | BROTHERHOOD OF LOCOMOTIVE ENGINEERS & TRAINMEN β¦ | 24K | $750 |
| 2022-09-16 | AMERICAN FEDERATION OF GOVT. EMPL. POLITICAL AC⦠| 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-09-02 | GREATER OPPORTUNITIES FOR LEADERSHIP DEVELOPMEN⦠| 24K | $1,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (5)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | #VOTEPROCHOICE PAC | contributed_to | $185 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-20 | #VOTEPROCHOICE PAC | contributed_to | $185 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-06 | BROTHERHOOD OF LOCOMOTIVE ENGINEERS & TRAINMEN PAC FUND | contributed_to | $750 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-16 | AMERICAN FEDERATION OF GOVT. EMPL. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-02 | GREATER OPPORTUNITIES FOR LEADERSHIP DEVELOPMENT (GOLD PAC) | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (3)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | COMMITTEE TO ELCT ALMONORD | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | COMMITTEE TO ELECT ALMONORD FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | COMMITTEE TO ELECT ALMONORD | β | candidate_committees |