CASTRO, WILLIAM MENDIOLA
R Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H0GU01027- Internal id
dd57b1ff-af96-4f0f-866c-c7e2ee6d1e12- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $0 | $0 | $-5,110 | $0 | $0 |
| 2020 | $38,780 | $43,890 | $-5,110 | $0 | $38,780 |
Elections
No elections on file.
Committees
- COMMITTEE TO ELECT WIL CASTRO FOR CONGRESS (4 WIL DRIVE) β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | COMMITTEE TO ELECT WIL CASTRO FOR CONGRESS (4 WIL DRIVE) | β | candidate_committees |