COLLINS, KINA

D · house

FEC candidate id: H0IL07167
Internal id: ff257c25-6ba5-4e2a-a4ad-11b6b0bae00c
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IL-07. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	744,315
People	Median age	35
Income	Median household income	$83,208
Income	Per-capita income	$57,358
Income	In poverty	18.0%
Income	Unemployed	8.5%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.538
Race	White alone	32.1%
Race	Black alone	40.6%
Race	Asian alone	9.0%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	17.4%
Race	Two or more races	9.2%
Origin	Foreign-born	15.6%
Language	Speaks English only at home	75.4%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	13.6%
Education	High school or higher	68.1%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	48.0%
Education	Advanced degree	22.3%
Household	Family households	47.4%
Household	Avg household size	2.18
Household	Never married (15+)	52.0%
Housing	Median home value	$351,000
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,643
Housing	Single-family detached	20.9%
Housing	Built before 1940	5.1%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	3.3%
Housing	Vacant units	9.5%
Service	Veterans (18+)	3.1%
Health	With a disability	12.7%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	89.0%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	6.3%
Commute	Drove alone	41.0%
Commute	Public transit	15.4%
Commute	Worked from home	23.0%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$860,648	$860,673	$-25	$0	$858,898
2022	$3,548	$6,489	$0	$4,036	$0
2020	$108,037	$105,096	$2,941	$488	$102,335

Elections

2020 general house · IL-7 — lost_general
2022 general house · IL-7 — lost_general
2024 general house · IL-7 — lost_general

Committees

COMMUNITY FOR KINA COLLINS — principal · type H
FOR THE MANY PAC — independent · type N
KINA FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2024	$0	$494,453	10
2022	$542,000	$0	6

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	oppose	$12,555	Media Placement
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	oppose	$85,779	Media Production/Placement
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	oppose	$60,000	Media Placement
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	oppose	$39,469	Direct Mail
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	oppose	$39,469	Direct Mail
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	support	$2,000	Text Messages (Estimate)
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	oppose	$39,469	Direct Mail
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	oppose	$75,000	Media Production/Placement
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	oppose	$60,000	Media Placement
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	oppose	$38,969	Direct Mail
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	oppose	$43,743	Direct Mail
2022-06-21	JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PAC	support	$100,000	Non-Contribution Account - TV/Digital/Radio Buy
2022-06-15	JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PAC	support	$170,000	Non-Contribution Account - TV/Digital/Radio Buy
2022-06-14	THE PEOPLE'S LOBBY	support	$30,000	Digital Ads Facebook
2022-06-07	JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PAC	support	$120,000	Non-Contribution Account - Digital Buy
2022-06-07	JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PAC	support	$120,000	Non-Contribution Account - TV/Digital/Radio Buy

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	24A	$-7,272
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	24E	$4,311
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	24A	$-2,406
2022-08-01	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	24E	$4,311
2022-06-21	JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PAC	24E	$100,000
2022-06-15	JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PAC	24E	$170,000
2022-06-14	THE PEOPLE'S LOBBY	24E	$30,000
2022-06-14	THE PEOPLE'S LOBBY	24E	$30,000
2022-06-07	JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PAC	24E	$120,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (25)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	contributed_to	$4,311	pas2
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	contributed_to	$-7,272	pas2
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	contributed_to	$-2,406	pas2
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	opposes_independently	$39,469	fec_ies
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	opposes_independently	$75,000	fec_ies
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	opposes_independently	$60,000	fec_ies
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	opposes_independently	$38,969	fec_ies
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	opposes_independently	$43,743	fec_ies
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	opposes_independently	$85,779	fec_ies
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	opposes_independently	$39,469	fec_ies
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	opposes_independently	$60,000	fec_ies
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	opposes_independently	$12,555	fec_ies
—	UNITED DEMOCRACY PROJECT ('UDP')	opposes_independently	$39,469	fec_ies
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	supports_independently	$2,000	fec_ies
2022-08-01	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	contributed_to	$4,311	pas2
2022-06-21	JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PAC	contributed_to	$100,000	pas2
2022-06-21	JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PAC	supports_independently	$100,000	fec_ies
2022-06-15	JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PAC	contributed_to	$170,000	pas2
2022-06-15	JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PAC	supports_independently	$170,000	fec_ies
2022-06-14	THE PEOPLE'S LOBBY	supports_independently	$30,000	fec_ies
2022-06-14	THE PEOPLE'S LOBBY	contributed_to	$30,000	pas2
2022-06-14	THE PEOPLE'S LOBBY	contributed_to	$30,000	pas2
2022-06-07	JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PAC	supports_independently	$120,000	fec_ies
2022-06-07	JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PAC	supports_independently	$120,000	fec_ies
2022-06-07	JUSTICE DEMOCRATS PAC	contributed_to	$120,000	pas2

Outbound (3)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	independent_committee_of	FOR THE MANY PAC	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	COMMUNITY FOR KINA COLLINS	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	KINA FOR CONGRESS	—	candidate_committees

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