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KING, ESTHER JOY

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H0IL17083
Internal id
ba01ff21-297a-4b12-a829-79f37d98aa8b
Status
open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IL-17. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation746,022
PeopleMedian age39
IncomeMedian household income$59,364
IncomePer-capita income$33,489
IncomeIn poverty17.8%
IncomeUnemployed6.0%
IncomeGini inequality index0.459
RaceWhite alone70.6%
RaceBlack alone13.1%
RaceAsian alone2.2%
RaceHispanic or Latino11.8%
RaceTwo or more races9.2%
OriginForeign-born6.7%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home88.8%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home7.0%
EducationHigh school or higher56.7%
EducationBachelor's or higher24.5%
EducationAdvanced degree8.7%
HouseholdFamily households56.2%
HouseholdAvg household size2.23
HouseholdNever married (15+)38.4%
HousingMedian home value$132,800
HousingMedian gross rent$904
HousingSingle-family detached70.1%
HousingBuilt before 19407.5%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.6%
HousingVacant units9.6%
ServiceVeterans (18+)6.4%
HealthWith a disability15.6%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband87.4%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet8.7%
CommuteDrove alone75.8%
CommutePublic transit1.0%
CommuteWorked from home9.2%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2024$-64$78,994$0$0$-64
2022$5,114,935$5,038,169$79,058$0$3,555,040
2020$2,058,085$2,055,794$2,292$10,150$1,677,459

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2022$190,977$7,098,91654

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
β€”HMPoppose$75,000Digital Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$20,004Direct Mail - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$30,962Digital Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$31,396Media Production - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$804,450Television Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$308,550Television Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$21,908Media Production - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$22,000Media Production - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$19,919Direct Mail - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$10,299Digital Production - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$308,550Television Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$121,100Television Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$19,919Direct Mail - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$933,119Television Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$20,473Direct Mail - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$628,747Television Advertising - Estimate
β€”DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.support$750Creation of micro-site
β€”DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.support$1,000Creative for digital ad
β€”DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.support$50,000Digital ad buy
β€”DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.support$1,000Creative for digital ad
β€”DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.support$40,000Digital ad buy
β€”HMPoppose$75,000Digital Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$12,079Media Production - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$30,962Digital Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$19,919Direct Mail - Estimate

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
β€”HMP24A$21,907
β€”HMP24A$308,550
β€”ILLINOIS AGRICULTURAL ASSOCIATION ACTIVATOR POL…24E$1,000
β€”HMP24A$22,000
β€”HMP24A$20,004
2022-12-30ABRAHAM LINCOLN PAC24K$-5,000
2022-12-21WINRED24K$-5
2022-12-21WINRED24K$-25
2022-12-21WINRED24K$-10
2022-12-21WINRED24K$-5
2022-12-19WINRED24K$-5
2022-12-19WINRED24K$-5
2022-12-17WINRED24K$-10
2022-12-16WINRED24K$0
2022-12-15WINRED24K$-25
2022-12-14WINRED24K$-4
2022-12-14WINRED24K$-4
2022-12-10WINRED24K$0
2022-12-08WINRED24K$-10
2022-12-08WINRED24K$-500
2022-12-07ILLINOIS AGRICULTURAL ASSOCIATION ACTIVATOR POL…24K$250
2022-12-07ILLINOIS AGRICULTURAL ASSOCIATION ACTIVATOR POL…24K$1,000
2022-12-07ILLINOIS AGRICULTURAL ASSOCIATION ACTIVATOR POL…24E$561
2022-12-05WINRED24K$0
2022-12-02WINRED24K$-5

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
β€”HMPcontributed_to$21,907pas2
β€”HMPcontributed_to$308,550pas2
β€”HMPcontributed_to$22,000pas2
β€”HMPcontributed_to$20,004pas2
β€”ILLINOIS AGRICULTURAL ASSOCIATION ACTIVATOR POLITICAL INVOLVEMENT FUND (FED) 'ACTIVATOR'/'ILLINOIS FARM BUREAU ACTIVATOR'contributed_to$1,000pas2
β€”HMPopposes_independently$75,000fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$20,473fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$30,962fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$30,962fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$19,919fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$1,232fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$19,919fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$10,299fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$21,908fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$308,550fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$31,396fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$19,919fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$12,079fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$933,119fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$22,000fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$75,000fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$308,550fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$804,450fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$628,747fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$121,100fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$20,004fec_ies
β€”DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.supports_independently$40,000fec_ies
β€”DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.supports_independently$1,000fec_ies
β€”DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.supports_independently$50,000fec_ies
β€”DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.supports_independently$1,000fec_ies
β€”DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.supports_independently$750fec_ies
2022-12-30ABRAHAM LINCOLN LEADERSHIP POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$-5,000pas2
2022-12-21WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-21WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-12-21WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-12-21WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-12-19WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-12-19WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-12-17WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-12-16WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-15WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-14WINREDcontributed_to$-4pas2
2022-12-14WINREDcontributed_to$-4pas2
2022-12-10WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-500pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-12-07ILLINOIS AGRICULTURAL ASSOCIATION ACTIVATOR POLITICAL INVOLVEMENT FUND (FED) 'ACTIVATOR'/'ILLINOIS FARM BUREAU ACTIVATOR'contributed_to$561pas2
2022-12-07ILLINOIS AGRICULTURAL ASSOCIATION ACTIVATOR POLITICAL INVOLVEMENT FUND (FED) 'ACTIVATOR'/'ILLINOIS FARM BUREAU ACTIVATOR'contributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-12-07ILLINOIS AGRICULTURAL ASSOCIATION ACTIVATOR POLITICAL INVOLVEMENT FUND (FED) 'ACTIVATOR'/'ILLINOIS FARM BUREAU ACTIVATOR'contributed_to$250pas2
2022-12-05WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-02WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-22WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$-17pas2
2022-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$-2,900pas2
2022-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-15WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-11-12WINREDcontributed_to$-12pas2
2022-11-11DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.contributed_to$2pas2
2022-11-10WINREDcontributed_to$-49pas2
2022-11-10WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-09WINREDcontributed_to$-750pas2
2022-11-09WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-08HMPcontributed_to$1,231pas2
2022-11-08CLFcontributed_to$8,855pas2
2022-11-07NEVER SURRENDER PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-11-07WINREDcontributed_to$-1,000pas2
2022-11-07NO VOTE LEFT BEHINDcontributed_to$18,413pas2
2022-11-07MAJORITY IN ACTIONcontributed_to$2,041pas2
2022-11-04EASY TO VOTE, HARD TO CHEATcontributed_to$33,451pas2
2022-11-04NATIONAL CATTLEMEN'S BEEF ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NCBA-PAC)contributed_to$-2,500pas2
2022-11-04EASY TO VOTE, HARD TO CHEATsupports_independently$33,452fec_ies
2022-11-04ILLINOIS AGRICULTURAL ASSOCIATION ACTIVATOR POLITICAL INVOLVEMENT FUND (FED) 'ACTIVATOR'/'ILLINOIS FARM BUREAU ACTIVATOR'contributed_to$346pas2
2022-11-04LAND OF OPPORTUNITY PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-11-04NATIONAL CATTLEMEN'S BEEF ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NCBA-PAC)contributed_to$2,500pas2
2022-11-03WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-11-03FAMILY RESEARCH COUNCIL ACTION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$4,000pas2
2022-11-03CONSERVATIVE PROMISES PACcontributed_to$3,000pas2
2022-11-03FREEDOM, FAMILY & PROSPERITY PACcontributed_to$-2,900pas2
2022-11-03ELECTING MAJORITY MAKING EFFECTIVE REPUBLICANS PACcontributed_to$2,500pas2
2022-11-03FREEDOM, FAMILY & PROSPERITY PACcontributed_to$2,900pas2
2022-11-03NO VOTE LEFT BEHINDopposes_independently$18,414fec_ies
2022-11-02NEVER SURRENDER PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-11-02GREAT PLAINS LEADERSHIP FUNDcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-11-02MNM PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-11-0131 DAYS PACcontributed_to$2,900pas2
2022-11-01SPECIAL OPERATIONS FOR AMERICAcontributed_to$12,500pas2
2022-11-01SPECIAL OPERATIONS FOR AMERICAsupports_independently$12,500fec_ies
2022-11-01WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2022-11-01HMPcontributed_to$628,747pas2
2022-11-01HMPcontributed_to$933,119pas2
2022-11-01UNIVERSITY PUBLIC ISSUES COMMITTEE AKA UPICcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-11-01WINREDcontributed_to$-1,000pas2
2022-10-31JAM PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-10-31THE COUNCIL OF INSURANCE AGENTS & BROKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-10-31SECURING AMERICAS MIGHT SAM PACcontributed_to$2,000pas2
2022-10-31EQUALITY LEADERSHIP FUNDcontributed_to$34,348pas2
2022-10-31HMPcontributed_to$10,299pas2
2022-10-31CLFcontributed_to$4,683pas2
2022-10-31HMPcontributed_to$75,000pas2

Outbound (3)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofKING FOR IL-17β€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofKING FOR IL-17 2022β€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofESTHER FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEEβ€”candidate_committees

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