DOWNER, HUNTINGTON B JR
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0LA03174- Internal id
d4dfb892-562e-4de3-9889-3df145104076- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), LA-03. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 770,787 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $62,445 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $35,381 |
| Income | In poverty | 17.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.488 |
| Race | White alone | 66.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 21.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 6.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 3.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 90.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 3.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 24.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 7.8% |
| Household | Family households | 65.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.50 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $201,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,004 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 69.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.8% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 14.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 87.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 10.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 81.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 6.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | $16,772 | $13,701 | $1,060 | $12,200 | $1,572 |
| 2010 | $698,604 | $700,614 | $-2,010 | $500 | $657,204 |
Elections
- 2010 general house Β· LA-3 β lost_general
Committees
- HUNT B DOWNER CAMPAIGN β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | HUNT B DOWNER CAMPAIGN | β | candidate_committees |