GROSSBARD, GAVRIEL
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0MI14230- Internal id
08ac1ec0-1100-41ce-b357-258b1c72fa53- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MI-09. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 778,989 |
| People | Median age | 43 |
| Income | Median household income | $85,269 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $44,084 |
| Income | In poverty | 8.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.438 |
| Race | White alone | 89.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 5.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 4.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 94.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 59.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 29.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.6% |
| Household | Family households | 69.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.50 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 27.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $279,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,073 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 79.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 77.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.3% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $87,850 | $87,850 | $0 | $0 | $49,350 |
| 2020 | $39,370 | $39,370 | $0 | $0 | $27,370 |
Elections
- 2020 general house Β· MI-9 β running
Committees
- VOTE GABI β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Connected on the graph
Inbound (10)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-4,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-09 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-09 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-01 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-28 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-11 | ESSHAKI FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-08 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-100 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | VOTE GABI | β | candidate_committees |