AMOROSE, ANTHONY (TONY)

R · house

FEC candidate id: H0MI15096
Internal id: fa7def06-7dc6-4a9f-8a2a-3a26960bd70e
Status: challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2010	$6,475	$6,370	$104	$0	$6,325

Elections

2010 general house · MI-15 — lost_general

Committees

TONY AMOROSE FOR US CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	TONY AMOROSE FOR US CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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