RAINS, MATTHEW
D · house
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- FEC candidate id
H0MT00116- Internal id
420b1708-af50-422f-be24-4fb7448077b6- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MT-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 564,861 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $73,598 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $43,045 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.4% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.475 |
| Race | White alone | 86.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 0.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 2.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 95.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 64.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 38.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.1% |
| Household | Family households | 59.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.36 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $466,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,174 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 67.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 13.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 69.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.3% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $215,339 | $108,210 | $107,130 | $42,942 | $215,339 |
| 2020 | $41,981 | $36,785 | $5,196 | $38,358 | $36,981 |
Elections
Committees
- MATT RAINS FOR MONTANA — principal · type H
- RAINS FOR MONTANA — principal · type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee MATT RAINS FOR MONTANA.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRAHAM, WHITNEY | CBRE · ENVIRONMENTAL CONSULTANT | SIMMS, MT | 2 | $1,750 |
| WEINBERG, DAN | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | WHITEFISH, MT | 1 | $1,000 |
| STONECIPHER, TOM | TARLOW STONECIPHER WEAMER & KELLY, PLL · ATTORNEY | BOZEMAN, MT | 1 | $1,000 |
| KAHRL, JENNY | SELF EMPLOYED · RANCHER | HARRISON, MT | 1 | $1,000 |
| MERJA, CHUCK | SELF EMPLOYED · FARMER | SUN RIVER, MT | 1 | $500 |
| BRUNNER, TIMOTHY | SELF EMPLOYED · RANCHER | POWER, MT | 1 | $500 |
| GRIFFITH, ALANAH | SELF EMPLOYED · ATTORNEY | GALLATIN GATEWAY, MT | 1 | $500 |
| PEPPER, BARBARA | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | SIMMS, MT | 1 | $500 |
| PETERSON, BENJAMIN | E.L. PETERSON RANCH · FARMER | JUDITH GAP, MT | 1 | $500 |
| CALLICRATE, MIKE | SELF EMPLOYED · FARMER | COLORADO SPRINGS, CO | 1 | $500 |
| CLARK, THOMAS | OKLAND CONSTRUCTION · CONSTRUCTION SCHEDULER | FORT BENTON, MT | 1 | $500 |
| RUMNEY, ROBERT | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | CASCADE, MT | 1 | $500 |
| HEYMAN, GLENN | ST PATRICK HOSPITAL · PHYSICIAN | MISSOULA, MT | 1 | $500 |
| COTE, PAMELA | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | BUTTE, MT | 1 | $500 |
| DAVIS, LOUISE | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | BOZEMAN, MT | 1 | $500 |
| TOWNSEND, BURKE | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | MISSOULA, MT | 1 | $500 |
| FILSON, DOROTHY | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | BOZEMAN, MT | 1 | $500 |
| WOOD, JAMIE | BENEFIS · DEVELOPMENT DIRECTOR | SIMMS, MT | 1 | $500 |
| JUEDEMAN, MARK | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | HELENA, MT | 1 | $500 |
| KIPPLEY, JEFF | SELF EMPLOYED · FARMER | ABERDEEN, SD | 1 | $500 |
| MARCACCI, JAMES | NOT EMPLOYED · GOVERNMENT CONTRACTOR | GILLESPIE, IL | 1 | $500 |
| BISHOP, ANDREW | AG PROCESSING SOLUTIONS · ENGINEER | BRADY, MT | 1 | $500 |
| YEGEN, CHRIS | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | TENAFLY, NJ | 1 | $250 |
| ANDERSON, TERESA | ASCENSION · DIRECTOR OF BENEFITS | COLORADO SPRINGS, CO | 1 | $250 |
| BREEDEN, KAY | VIOHALCO · BOARD MEMBER | TULSA, OK | 1 | $250 |
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | principal_candidate_of | RAINS FOR MONTANA | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | principal_candidate_of | MATT RAINS FOR MONTANA | — | candidate_committees |