GREGORY, JEFF
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0NC10177- Internal id
02a4521d-bcd5-4596-9af6-dd9a4d6c985f- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NC-14. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 767,409 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $75,731 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $43,810 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.485 |
| Race | White alone | 68.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 15.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 9.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 8.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 88.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 7.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.8% |
| Household | Family households | 66.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.49 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $299,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,276 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 72.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 17.0% |
Elections
- 2010 general house Β· NC-10 β lost_general
- 2016 general house Β· NC-10 β lost_general
- 2018 general house Β· NC-10 β lost_general
- 2020 general house Β· NC-5 β lost_general
- 2022 general house Β· NC-10 β lost_general
- 2024 general house Β· NC-14 β lost_general
Committees
- COMMITTEE TO ELECT JEFF GREGORY FOR CONGRESS, THE β principal Β· type H
- JEFFREY DALE GREGORY FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-29 | COMMUNICATIONS WORKERS OF AMERICA - COPE POLITI⦠| 24K | $500 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (1)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-29 | COMMUNICATIONS WORKERS OF AMERICA - COPE POLITICAL CONTRIBUTIONS COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 |
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JEFFREY DALE GREGORY FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | COMMITTEE TO ELECT JEFF GREGORY FOR CONGRESS, THE | β | candidate_committees |