COSGROVE, JOHN THOMAS
R Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H0NC12033- Internal id
47e73e41-9d89-46fc-ad39-b77f6cf7f128- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NC-05. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 751,008 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $58,936 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $34,940 |
| Income | In poverty | 15.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.480 |
| Race | White alone | 70.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 17.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 8.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 89.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 6.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 56.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 27.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.7% |
| Household | Family households | 62.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.35 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $214,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $952 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 67.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 14.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 87.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 9.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 76.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | $5,572 | $5,065 | $507 | $0 | $0 |
| 2002 | $190 | $655 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2000 | $94,743 | $94,278 | $465 | $5,075 | $300 |
Elections
Committees
- COSGROVE FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE β principal Β· type H
- JOHN COSGROVE FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JOHN COSGROVE FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | COSGROVE FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |