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MULLINS, THOMAS E

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H0NM03045
Internal id
481fc503-aa9d-4fe6-b5ad-b49884a817a4
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NM-03. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation701,127
PeopleMedian age40
IncomeMedian household income$62,557
IncomePer-capita income$35,743
IncomeIn poverty19.9%
IncomeUnemployed6.1%
IncomeGini inequality index0.496
RaceWhite alone45.0%
RaceBlack alone1.3%
RaceAsian alone1.2%
RaceHispanic or Latino43.0%
RaceTwo or more races21.6%
OriginForeign-born8.0%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home65.3%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home23.7%
EducationHigh school or higher55.7%
EducationBachelor's or higher28.1%
EducationAdvanced degree13.3%
HouseholdFamily households62.5%
HouseholdAvg household size2.53
HouseholdNever married (15+)36.7%
HousingMedian home value$232,100
HousingMedian gross rent$1,038
HousingSingle-family detached64.3%
HousingBuilt before 19403.9%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)3.9%
HousingVacant units15.6%
ServiceVeterans (18+)6.6%
HealthWith a disability17.1%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband82.1%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet13.8%
CommuteDrove alone76.0%
CommutePublic transit0.5%
CommuteWorked from home10.5%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2024$0$0$627$0$0
2022$0$0$627$0$0
2020$0$0$627$0$0
2018$0$1,884$627$0$0
2016$0$2,160$2,511$0$0
2014$0$6,436$4,671$0$0
2012$5,871$33,946$11,107$0$0
2010$385,259$346,078$39,181$0$356,961

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-07-29DALLAS ENTREPRENEUR POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE24K$5,000
2022-04-01AO SMITH CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE…24K$1,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (2)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-07-29DALLAS ENTREPRENEUR POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-04-01AO SMITH CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AOSPAC)contributed_to$1,000pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofMULLINS FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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