LALOTA, NICHOLAS JOSEPH
R · house
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- FEC candidate id
H0NY02200- Internal id
d1b72b57-48a9-4dc4-9ec8-c5f7c3542434- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 782,282 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $128,330 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $50,160 |
| Income | In poverty | 6.4% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.412 |
| Race | White alone | 59.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 10.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 29.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 12.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 19.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 70.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 21.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 33.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.8% |
| Household | Family households | 74.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.14 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 36.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $529,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,204 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 78.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 6.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 73.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 5.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $166,846 | $166,846 | $0 | $0 | $142,343 |
Elections
- 2020 general house · NY-2 — lost_general
Committees
- LALOTA FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $81,988 | $8,300 | 6 |
| 2022 | $180,097 | $287,361 | 15 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-01 | PATRIOTS FOR A BRIGHTER AMERICA | support | $1,320 | Digital Media |
| 2024-10-31 | AFT SOLIDARITY | oppose | $7,300 | Digital Ads (estimate) |
| 2024-10-31 | AFT SOLIDARITY | oppose | $1,000 | Ad Production |
| 2024-10-28 | ELECT PRINCIPLED VETERANS FUND (EPV FUND) | support | $36,949 | DIRECT MAIL (PREPAYMENT ON 9/19/2024) |
| 2024-10-25 | PATRIOTS FOR A BRIGHTER AMERICA | support | $5,517 | Digital Advertising (also opposes Avlon) |
| 2024-10-21 | ELECT PRINCIPLED VETERANS FUND (EPV FUND) | support | $38,202 | DIRECT MAIL (PREPAYMENT ON 9/19/2024) |
| 2022-10-24 | NATIONAL RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUND | support | $4,180 | IE-LaLota-Direct Mail |
| 2022-10-24 | AMERICAN LEADERSHIP PAC | support | $35,250 | Digital Advertising |
| 2022-10-21 | THE GOVERNING MAJORITY FUND | support | $5,938 | voter contact/messaging services |
| 2022-10-21 | THE GOVERNING MAJORITY FUND | support | $5,938 | voter contact/messaging services |
| 2022-10-19 | AMERICAN LEADERSHIP PAC | support | $38,849 | Text Messages |
| 2022-10-19 | AMERICAN LEADERSHIP PAC | support | $31,477 | Direct Mail |
| 2022-10-19 | AMERICAN LEADERSHIP PAC | support | $38,466 | Text Messages |
| 2022-08-18 | CRYPTO FREEDOM PAC | oppose | $81 | TV ad costs (from advance line 21) |
| 2022-08-17 | CRYPTO FREEDOM PAC | oppose | $132,475 | TV ad placement |
| 2022-08-15 | CRYPTO FREEDOM PAC | oppose | $269 | Mail production (from advance line 21) |
| 2022-08-12 | CRYPTO FREEDOM PAC | oppose | $493 | TV ad production (from advance line 21) |
| 2022-08-12 | CRYPTO FREEDOM PAC | oppose | $200 | Data analytics |
| 2022-08-12 | CRYPTO FREEDOM PAC | oppose | $21,369 | Mail production, postage |
| 2022-08-10 | CRYPTO FREEDOM PAC | oppose | $132,475 | TV ad placement, production |
| 2022-08-10 | SEAL PAC USA | support | $20,000 | Digital Advertising |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | FREEDOM FORCE PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $3,500 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-03-31 | FREEDOM FORCE PAC | contributed_to | $3,500 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-31 | FREEDOM FORCE PAC | contributed_to | $3,500 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-31 | FREEDOM FORCE PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $3,500 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-03-24 | SMALL BUSINESS INVESTOR ALLIANCE PAC | contributed_to | $-4,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-24 | FIELD OF DREAMS PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $2,500 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-03-24 | SMALL BUSINESS INVESTOR ALLIANCE PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $4,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-03-24 | SMALL BUSINESS INVESTOR ALLIANCE PAC | contributed_to | $4,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-24 | FIELD OF DREAMS PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-17 | BAKER PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-17 | BAKER PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $5,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-03-11 | NORTH AMERICA'S BUILDING TRADES UNIONS POLITICAL EDUCATIONAL FUND | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $2,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-03-11 | NORTH AMERICA'S BUILDING TRADES UNIONS POLITICAL EDUCATIONAL FUND | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-09 | SHIFT5 POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $3,500 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-09 | SHIFT5 POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $3,500 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-01-06 | SMALL BUSINESS INVESTOR ALLIANCE PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $4,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2026-01-06 | SMALL BUSINESS INVESTOR ALLIANCE PAC | contributed_to | $4,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-30 | REPUBLICAN ITALIAN AMERICAN COMMITTEE | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2025-12-30 | REPUBLICAN ITALIAN AMERICAN COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-18 | THE REAL ESTATE BOARD OF NEW YORK, INC. FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $500 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2025-12-18 | THE REAL ESTATE BOARD OF NEW YORK, INC. FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-15 | FIELD OF DREAMS PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $2,500 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2025-12-15 | FIELD OF DREAMS PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-12 | TTM TECHNOLOGIES INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-12 | TTM TECHNOLOGIES INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $2,500 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2025-12-02 | CONSERVATIVE OPPORTUNITY LEADERSHIP AND ENTERPRISE PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-02 | CONSERVATIVE OPPORTUNITY LEADERSHIP AND ENTERPRISE PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $5,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2025-11-20 | NETJETS ASSOCIATION OF SHARED AIRCRAFT PILOTS PAC; NJASAP PAC | contributed_to | $1,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-11-20 | NETJETS ASSOCIATION OF SHARED AIRCRAFT PILOTS PAC; NJASAP PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1,500 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2025-11-12 | GENERAL ATOMICS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-11-12 | GENERAL ATOMICS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $2,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2025-09-29 | EUREKA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $3,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-29 | EUREKA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $3,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2025-09-16 | NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF FARM SERVICE AGENCY COUNTY OFFICE EMPLOYEES INC PPC AKA NASCOE PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2025-09-16 | NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF FARM SERVICE AGENCY COUNTY OFFICE EMPLOYEES INC PPC AKA NASCOE PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-15 | NETJETS ASSOCIATION OF SHARED AIRCRAFT PILOTS PAC; NJASAP PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2025-09-15 | NETJETS ASSOCIATION OF SHARED AIRCRAFT PILOTS PAC; NJASAP PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-05 | BUILDING BRIDGES PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-05 | BUILDING BRIDGES PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2025-08-01 | VANTOR PARENT INC. PAC (VANTOR PAC) | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2025-08-01 | VANTOR PARENT INC. PAC (VANTOR PAC) | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-07-17 | WITH HONOR PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2025-07-17 | WITH HONOR PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-06-18 | TTM TECHNOLOGIES INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-06-18 | TTM TECHNOLOGIES INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $2,500 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2025-06-05 | NETJETS ASSOCIATION OF SHARED AIRCRAFT PILOTS PAC; NJASAP PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-06-05 | NETJETS ASSOCIATION OF SHARED AIRCRAFT PILOTS PAC; NJASAP PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2025-05-28 | TTM TECHNOLOGIES INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-05-28 | TTM TECHNOLOGIES INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $2,500 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2025-05-02 | SMALL BUSINESS INVESTOR ALLIANCE PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-05-02 | SMALL BUSINESS INVESTOR ALLIANCE PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2025-04-30 | ANIMAL WELLNESS ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-04-30 | ANIMAL WELLNESS ACTION PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2025-03-31 | RED HOOK PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $3,500 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2025-03-31 | RED HOOK PAC | contributed_to | $3,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-24 | AMERICA'S FUTURE, TOGETHER | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-24 | AMERICA'S FUTURE, TOGETHER | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $500 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2025-03-21 | GENERAL ATOMICS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2025-03-21 | GENERAL ATOMICS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-03 | TTM TECHNOLOGIES INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-03 | TTM TECHNOLOGIES INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $2,500 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2025-02-14 | CONQUERING CANCER PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-02-14 | CONQUERING CANCER PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $5,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2025-02-14 | CONQUERING CANCER PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $5,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2025-02-14 | CONQUERING CANCER PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-02-10 | BUILDING BRIDGES PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-02-10 | BUILDING BRIDGES PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2025-02-04 | WITH HONOR PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-02-04 | WITH HONOR PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $5,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2024-11-01 | PATRIOTS FOR A BRIGHTER AMERICA | supports_independently | $1,320 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-31 | AFT SOLIDARITY | opposes_independently | $7,300 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-31 | AFT SOLIDARITY | opposes_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-28 | ELECT PRINCIPLED VETERANS FUND (EPV FUND) | supports_independently | $36,949 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-25 | PATRIOTS FOR A BRIGHTER AMERICA | supports_independently | $5,517 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-21 | ELECT PRINCIPLED VETERANS FUND (EPV FUND) | supports_independently | $38,202 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-11-04 | EMPIRE STRIKE PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $2,900 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-11-04 | EMPIRE STRIKE PAC | contributed_to | $2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-02 | ROUGHRIDER PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-02 | ROUGHRIDER PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-11-01 | CONCERNED AMERICANS FOR FREEDOM & OPPORTUNITY PAC (CAFO PAC) | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $2,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-11-01 | CONCERNED AMERICANS FOR FREEDOM & OPPORTUNITY PAC (CAFO PAC) | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | NATIONAL CONSERVATIVE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | NATIONAL CONSERVATIVE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $1,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-10-27 | CALL TO SERVICE PAC | contributed_to | $2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-27 | CALL TO SERVICE PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $2,900 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-10-26 | BOG-PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $2,900 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-10-26 | BOG-PAC | contributed_to | $2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-25 | DEFENDING THE AMERICAN DREAM PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $2,900 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-10-25 | DEFENDING THE AMERICAN DREAM PAC | contributed_to | $2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-24 | AMERICAN LEADERSHIP PAC | supports_independently | $35,250 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-24 | NATIONAL RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $4,180 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-21 | THE GOVERNING MAJORITY FUND | supports_independently | $5,938 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-21 | THE GOVERNING MAJORITY FUND | supports_independently | $5,938 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-20 | BUILDING LEADERSHIP AND INSPIRING NEW ENTERPRISE PAC | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-20 | BUILDING LEADERSHIP AND INSPIRING NEW ENTERPRISE PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $2,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-10-19 | AMERICAN LEADERSHIP PAC | supports_independently | $38,849 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-19 | AMERICAN LEADERSHIP PAC | supports_independently | $31,477 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-19 | AMERICAN LEADERSHIP PAC | supports_independently | $38,466 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-18 | NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION INSTITUTE FOR LEGISLATIVE ACTION | contributed_to | $2,320 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-18 | NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION INSTITUTE FOR LEGISLATIVE ACTION | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $2,320 | 24F | fec_pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | principal_candidate_of | LALOTA FOR CONGRESS | — | candidate_committees |