MCGRATH, RAYMOND J
R Β· house Β· bioguide M000458
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- FEC candidate id
H0NY05021- Internal id
3ab5d1dd-fdcf-4dbd-bde9-1adfd0eb9f2f- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-05. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 789,687 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $86,577 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $36,943 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 8.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.459 |
| Race | White alone | 15.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 40.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 14.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 21.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 11.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 43.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 63.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 16.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 57.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 28.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.0% |
| Household | Family households | 72.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.02 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 41.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $671,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,768 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 33.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 12.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 9.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 2.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 40.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 36.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1998 | $0 | $14,574 | $4,489 | $0 | $0 |
| 1996 | $80 | $79,383 | $18,839 | $0 | $0 |
| 1994 | $25,358 | $138,442 | $98,142 | $0 | $0 |
| 1992 | $367,919 | $401,908 | $211,226 | $1,635 | $94,635 |
| 1990 | $537,366 | $618,882 | $245,216 | $594 | $142,844 |
| 1988 | $502,509 | $337,792 | $326,731 | $6,876 | $176,099 |
| 1986 | $439,322 | $294,365 | $162,017 | $0 | $0 |
| 1984 | $253,754 | $238,579 | $17,092 | $5,123 | $130,171 |
| 1982 | $294,820 | $295,700 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1980 | $143,068 | $169,807 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Elections
- 1982 general house Β· NY-5 β won
- 1984 general house Β· NY-5 β won
- 1986 general house Β· NY-5 β won
- 1988 general house Β· NY-5 β won
- 1990 general house Β· NY-5 β won
- 1992 general house Β· NY-5 β won
Committees
- MCGRATH FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE β principal Β· type H
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MCGRATH FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |