KELLY, BRIAN W
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0NY07118- Internal id
e0eb6367-0926-4f81-b501-c2bb07004eaf- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-07. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 753,548 |
| People | Median age | 34 |
| Income | Median household income | $88,575 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $51,033 |
| Income | In poverty | 18.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 7.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.504 |
| Race | White alone | 41.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 11.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 12.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 34.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 15.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 33.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 46.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 27.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 66.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 44.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 16.4% |
| Household | Family households | 51.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.48 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 50.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $859,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,142 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 3.1% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 8.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 9.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 1.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 14.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 48.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 20.9% |
Elections
- 2020 general house Β· NY-7 β running
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-06-11 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | 24A | $8 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-06-11 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $8 | 24A | fec_pas2 |
| 2021-06-11 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | contributed_to | $8 | pas2 |