EGRIU, EMIN

D · house

FEC candidate id: H0NY26068
Internal id: d5a37486-55c0-49e5-a10d-0f15020944ac
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-26. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	772,895
People	Median age	39
Income	Median household income	$65,395
Income	Per-capita income	$38,777
Income	In poverty	17.0%
Income	Unemployed	5.5%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.469
Race	White alone	67.3%
Race	Black alone	16.2%
Race	Asian alone	6.0%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	7.6%
Race	Two or more races	7.2%
Origin	Foreign-born	8.7%
Language	Speaks English only at home	86.6%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	3.9%
Education	High school or higher	62.0%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	35.7%
Education	Advanced degree	15.9%
Household	Family households	54.1%
Household	Avg household size	2.22
Household	Never married (15+)	41.8%
Housing	Median home value	$208,200
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,063
Housing	Single-family detached	54.3%
Housing	Built before 1940	9.5%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.5%
Housing	Vacant units	8.2%
Service	Veterans (18+)	5.6%
Health	With a disability	14.7%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	89.6%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	7.3%
Commute	Drove alone	70.8%
Commute	Public transit	3.6%
Commute	Worked from home	12.4%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2022	$113,652	$101,405	$12,247	$131,650	$7,749
2020	$27,945	$27,954	$0	$27,300	$645

Elections

2020 general house · NY-26 — lost_general
2022 general house · NY-26 — lost_general

Committees

EGRIU FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2021-12-31	EGRIU FOR CONGRESS	24K	$114
2021-12-28	EGRIU FOR CONGRESS	24K	$685
2021-12-28	EGRIU FOR CONGRESS	24K	$300
2021-12-21	EGRIU FOR CONGRESS	24K	$417
2021-12-21	EGRIU FOR CONGRESS	24K	$500
2021-11-09	EGRIU FOR CONGRESS	24K	$466

Connected on the graph

Inbound (12)

date	from	type	amount	role	source
2021-12-31	EGRIU FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$114		pas2
2021-12-31	EGRIU FOR CONGRESS	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$114	24K	fec_pas2
2021-12-28	EGRIU FOR CONGRESS	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$300	24K	fec_pas2
2021-12-28	EGRIU FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$685		pas2
2021-12-28	EGRIU FOR CONGRESS	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$685	24K	fec_pas2
2021-12-28	EGRIU FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$300		pas2
2021-12-21	EGRIU FOR CONGRESS	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$417	24K	fec_pas2
2021-12-21	EGRIU FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$417		pas2
2021-12-21	EGRIU FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$500		pas2
2021-12-21	EGRIU FOR CONGRESS	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$500	24K	fec_pas2
2021-11-09	EGRIU FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$466		pas2
2021-11-09	EGRIU FOR CONGRESS	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$466	24K	fec_pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	EGRIU FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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