ABDELLA, JAMES

R · house

FEC candidate id: H0NY39012
Internal id: 19b85f4b-c700-42de-96ca-4c0faf900bb2

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
1982	$10,579	$11,537	$0	$0	$0
1980	$74,538	$73,588	$0	$0	$0

Elections

1980 general house · NY-39 — running

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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