MANDEL, JOSHUA A

R · house

FEC candidate id: H0OH11072
Internal id: fe4283f2-ff9f-4745-b478-9339b3b9c488
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OH-11. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	773,464
People	Median age	38
Income	Median household income	$53,094
Income	Per-capita income	$38,066
Income	In poverty	21.6%
Income	Unemployed	8.4%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.525
Race	White alone	42.3%
Race	Black alone	43.6%
Race	Asian alone	2.8%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	8.0%
Race	Two or more races	8.0%
Origin	Foreign-born	6.6%
Language	Speaks English only at home	88.2%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	5.5%
Education	High school or higher	61.6%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	33.5%
Education	Advanced degree	15.1%
Household	Family households	48.3%
Household	Avg household size	2.13
Household	Never married (15+)	47.4%
Housing	Median home value	$151,700
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,024
Housing	Single-family detached	52.3%
Housing	Built before 1940	10.7%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.3%
Housing	Vacant units	12.6%
Service	Veterans (18+)	5.3%
Health	With a disability	17.2%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	87.9%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	8.6%
Commute	Drove alone	67.1%
Commute	Public transit	4.5%
Commute	Worked from home	14.7%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$264	$9,258	$-27,324	$122,481	$0
2024	$20,613	$-38,584	$-18,651	$122,481	$317
2022	$3,190,704	$7,630,028	$-77,847	$0	$678,807
2020	$803,908	$56,040	$4,361,477	$0	$0
2018	$4,516,257	$2,572,742	$3,611,044	$0	$2,202,371

Elections

2020 general house · OH-11 — lost_general

Committees

CITIZENS FOR JOSH MANDEL, INC. — principal · type S

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-04-28	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	24E	$88
2022-04-28	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	24E	$2,777
2022-04-26	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	24E	$3,197
2022-04-25	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	24E	$1,111
2022-04-21	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	24E	$7,437
2022-04-21	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	24E	$372
2022-04-19	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	24E	$6,952
2022-04-13	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	24E	$92
2022-04-06	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	24E	$42
2022-03-30	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	24E	$195
2022-03-23	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	24E	$17
2022-03-16	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	24E	$94
2022-03-16	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	24E	$4,330
2022-03-09	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	24E	$37
2022-03-08	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	24E	$9,946
2022-03-03	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	24E	$39
2021-06-15	WINRED	24K	$1
2021-06-03	TRINITY INDUSTRIES EMPLOYEE POLITICAL ACTION CO…	24K	$2,000
2021-05-25	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	24E	$251
2021-05-19	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	24E	$84
2021-05-12	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	24E	$363
2021-05-04	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	24E	$325
2021-03-30	NORPAC	24K	$4,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (23)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-04-28	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$2,777	pas2
2022-04-28	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$88	pas2
2022-04-26	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$3,197	pas2
2022-04-25	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$1,111	pas2
2022-04-21	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$372	pas2
2022-04-21	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$7,437	pas2
2022-04-19	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$6,952	pas2
2022-04-13	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$92	pas2
2022-04-06	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$42	pas2
2022-03-30	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$195	pas2
2022-03-23	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$17	pas2
2022-03-16	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$94	pas2
2022-03-16	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$4,330	pas2
2022-03-09	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$37	pas2
2022-03-08	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$9,946	pas2
2022-03-03	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$39	pas2
2021-06-15	WINRED	contributed_to	$1	pas2
2021-06-03	TRINITY INDUSTRIES EMPLOYEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (SF) INC.	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-05-25	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$251	pas2
2021-05-19	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$84	pas2
2021-05-12	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$363	pas2
2021-05-04	SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND	contributed_to	$325	pas2
2021-03-30	NORPAC	contributed_to	$4,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	CITIZENS FOR JOSH MANDEL, INC.	—		candidate_committees

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