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SKARLATOS, ALEK

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FEC candidate id
H0OR04107
Internal id
b724de9a-4e07-4ca5-a3a4-bec70f40dc2a
Status
open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OR-04. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation710,014
PeopleMedian age42
IncomeMedian household income$68,838
IncomePer-capita income$39,319
IncomeIn poverty15.9%
IncomeUnemployed6.4%
IncomeGini inequality index0.466
RaceWhite alone81.7%
RaceBlack alone0.9%
RaceAsian alone2.7%
RaceHispanic or Latino9.4%
RaceTwo or more races10.3%
OriginForeign-born5.6%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home91.6%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home4.8%
EducationHigh school or higher56.7%
EducationBachelor's or higher32.8%
EducationAdvanced degree13.8%
HouseholdFamily households58.6%
HouseholdAvg household size2.29
HouseholdNever married (15+)33.9%
HousingMedian home value$412,900
HousingMedian gross rent$1,298
HousingSingle-family detached62.8%
HousingBuilt before 19406.3%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.3%
HousingVacant units8.7%
ServiceVeterans (18+)8.6%
HealthWith a disability18.2%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband91.5%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet5.3%
CommuteDrove alone67.0%
CommutePublic transit1.3%
CommuteWorked from home15.1%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$72,862$16,254$100,687$0$0
2024$127,770$145,361$44,077$0$0
2022$4,538,041$4,584,183$61,667$0$4,113,445
2020$5,462,321$5,338,964$123,357$20,500$5,105,618

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2022$8,026$1,636,52126

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
β€”HMPoppose$112,000Digital Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$10,184Media Production - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$173,000Television Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$47,575Television Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$73,525Television Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$86,500Television Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$10,320Media Production - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$173,000Television Advertising - Estimate
β€”HMPoppose$48,000Digital Advertising - Estimate
2022-11-03DCCCoppose$25,000Digital Media Buy Estimate
2022-10-31DCCCoppose$65,000Digital Media Buy Estimate
2022-10-31DCCCoppose$493Digital Media - Production Estimate
2022-10-06NATIONAL RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUNDsupport$8,026IE-Skarlatos-Direct Mail
2022-09-29DCCCoppose$119,571Media Buy
2022-09-29DCCCoppose$69,500Digital Media Buy Estimate
2022-09-27DCCCoppose$6,982Digital Media - Production Estimate
2022-09-27DCCCoppose$12,069Media Production - Estimate
2022-09-22DCCCoppose$69,500Digital Media Buy Estimate
2022-09-22DCCCoppose$119,512Media Buy
2022-09-15DCCCoppose$69,500Digital Media Buy Estimate
2022-09-15DCCCoppose$108,340Media Buy
2022-09-13DCCCoppose$45,847Media Production - Estimate
2022-09-13DCCCoppose$8,137Digital Media - Production Estimate
2022-09-13DCCCoppose$11,599Media Production - Estimate
2022-09-08DCCCoppose$101,867Media Buy

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-12-26WINRED24K$-25
2022-12-23WINRED24K$-25
2022-12-23WINRED24K$-25
2022-12-23WINRED24K$-25
2022-12-23WINRED24K$-25
2022-12-23WINRED24K$-25
2022-12-21WINRED24K$-5
2022-12-21WINRED24K$-75
2022-12-21WINRED24K$-25
2022-12-21WINRED24K$-5
2022-12-21WINRED24K$-25
2022-12-21WINRED24K$-10
2022-12-17WINRED24K$-3
2022-12-17WINRED24K$-12
2022-12-16WINRED24K$0
2022-12-15WINRED24K$-5
2022-12-10WINRED24K$0
2022-12-09WINRED24K$-525
2022-12-08WINRED24K$-925
2022-12-08WINRED24K$-10
2022-12-08WINRED24K$-10
2022-12-08WINRED24K$-374
2022-12-08WINRED24K$-25
2022-12-08WINRED24K$-10
2022-12-08WINRED24K$-500

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
β€”HMPopposes_independently$112,000fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$10,320fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$10,184fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$73,525fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$173,000fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$86,500fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$48,000fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$173,000fec_ies
β€”HMPopposes_independently$47,575fec_ies
2022-12-26WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-23WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-23WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-23WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-23WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-23WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-21WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-12-21WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-12-21WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-12-21WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-21WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-21WINREDcontributed_to$-75pas2
2022-12-17WINREDcontributed_to$-12pas2
2022-12-17WINREDcontributed_to$-3pas2
2022-12-16WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-15WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-12-10WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-09WINREDcontributed_to$-525pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-374pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-500pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-500pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-925pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-12-08WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-12-05WINREDcontributed_to$0pas2
2022-12-04WINREDcontributed_to$-4pas2
2022-12-02WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-12-01WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-30WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-30WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-29WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-28WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-28WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-28WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-28WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-28WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-26WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-11-24WINREDcontributed_to$-4pas2
2022-11-23WINREDcontributed_to$-2pas2
2022-11-23OREGON REPUBLICAN PARTYcontributed_to$778pas2
2022-11-23OREGON REPUBLICAN PARTYcontributed_to$723pas2
2022-11-23OREGON REPUBLICAN PARTYcontributed_to$760pas2
2022-11-23OREGON REPUBLICAN PARTYcontributed_to$463pas2
2022-11-23OREGON REPUBLICAN PARTYcontributed_to$256pas2
2022-11-23WINREDcontributed_to$-40pas2
2022-11-23WINREDcontributed_to$-3pas2
2022-11-22WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-17OREGON REPUBLICAN PARTYcontributed_to$532pas2
2022-11-17OREGON REPUBLICAN PARTYcontributed_to$545pas2
2022-11-17OREGON REPUBLICAN PARTYcontributed_to$178pas2
2022-11-17OREGON REPUBLICAN PARTYcontributed_to$558pas2
2022-11-17OREGON REPUBLICAN PARTYcontributed_to$319pas2
2022-11-17WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-16WINREDcontributed_to$-103pas2
2022-11-15NATIONAL CATTLEMEN'S BEEF ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NCBA-PAC)contributed_to$-1,000pas2
2022-11-14WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-14WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-14WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2022-11-14WINREDcontributed_to$-4pas2
2022-11-14WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-14WINREDcontributed_to$-4pas2
2022-11-13WINREDcontributed_to$-6pas2
2022-11-13WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2022-11-13WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-13WINREDcontributed_to$-7pas2
2022-11-13WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-13WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-13WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-13WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-13WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-11-13WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-11-13WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-13WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-11-13WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2

Outbound (3)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofSKARLATOS FOR OR-04β€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofSKARLATOS FOR OR-04 2022β€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofALEK FOR OREGONβ€”candidate_committees

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