SCHELLER, LISA

R · house

FEC candidate id: H0PA07132
Internal id: 96c1eeb6-49e1-4a0b-9905-784460ada320
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), PA-07. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	775,601
People	Median age	41
Income	Median household income	$82,392
Income	Per-capita income	$43,582
Income	In poverty	10.5%
Income	Unemployed	5.5%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.454
Race	White alone	69.8%
Race	Black alone	6.0%
Race	Asian alone	3.1%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	20.8%
Race	Two or more races	12.1%
Origin	Foreign-born	11.0%
Language	Speaks English only at home	80.3%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	13.8%
Education	High school or higher	65.9%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	32.8%
Education	Advanced degree	12.6%
Household	Family households	67.0%
Household	Avg household size	2.52
Household	Never married (15+)	33.8%
Housing	Median home value	$292,600
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,358
Housing	Single-family detached	55.8%
Housing	Built before 1940	5.1%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.6%
Housing	Vacant units	6.7%
Service	Veterans (18+)	6.2%
Health	With a disability	13.3%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	90.2%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	7.6%
Commute	Drove alone	74.0%
Commute	Public transit	1.1%
Commute	Worked from home	13.8%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$5,000	$1,222	$5,512	$3,418,000	$0
2024	$10,236	$11,240	$1,734	$3,418,000	$0
2022	$6,354,579	$6,432,422	$2,737	$3,418,000	$2,381,481
2020	$3,740,779	$3,661,738	$79,041	$250,000	$998,798

Elections

2020 general house · PA-7 — lost_general
2022 general house · PA-7 — lost_general

Committees

SCHELLER FOR CONGRESS, INC. — principal · type H
SCHELLER FOR PA-07 — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$9,390	$9,295,327	61

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	HMP	oppose	$18,333	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$18,333	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$6,000	Digital Production - Estimate
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	oppose	$379	Research Services
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	oppose	$10,000	Polling
—	HMP	oppose	$1,642,553	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$41,859	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$18,333	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$8,736	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$10,000	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$6,000	Digital Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$18,333	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$492,362	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$412,120	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$18,333	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$1,669,022	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$18,333	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$9,982	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$28,333	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$8,644	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$18,333	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$18,333	Digital Advertising - Estimate
2022-11-03	DCCC	oppose	$30,000	Digital Media Buy Estimate
2022-10-31	DCCC	oppose	$30,000	Digital Media Buy Estimate
2022-10-27	WOMEN VOTE	oppose	$12,540	TV Media Production

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	24A	$10,000
2023-11-08	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	24N	$1,228
2022-12-30	WINRED	24K	$-15
2022-12-28	WINRED	24K	$-25
2022-12-21	WINRED	24K	$-8
2022-12-21	WINRED	24K	$-8
2022-12-21	WINRED	24K	$-15
2022-12-21	WINRED	24K	$-4
2022-12-19	WINRED	24K	$-15
2022-12-19	WINRED	24K	$-15
2022-12-18	WINRED	24K	$-15
2022-12-18	WINRED	24K	$-15
2022-12-18	WINRED	24K	$-10
2022-12-18	WINRED	24K	$-15
2022-12-18	WINRED	24K	$-3
2022-12-18	WINRED	24K	$-8
2022-12-18	WINRED	24K	$-8
2022-12-18	WINRED	24K	$-15
2022-12-18	WINRED	24K	$-8
2022-12-18	WINRED	24K	$-8
2022-12-18	WINRED	24K	$-8
2022-12-17	WINRED	24K	$-25
2022-12-16	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-12-10	WINRED	24K	$-2
2022-12-10	WINRED	24K	$0

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	contributed_to	$10,000	pas2
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	opposes_independently	$379	fec_ies
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	opposes_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$41,859	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$8,644	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$1,642,553	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$18,333	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$6,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$28,333	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$18,333	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$6,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$18,333	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$412,120	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$18,333	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$492,362	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$9,982	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$18,333	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$18,333	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$18,333	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$18,333	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$1,669,022	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$8,736	fec_ies
2023-11-08	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	contributed_to	$1,228	pas2
2022-12-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-15	pas2
2022-12-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-21	WINRED	contributed_to	$-4	pas2
2022-12-21	WINRED	contributed_to	$-8	pas2
2022-12-21	WINRED	contributed_to	$-8	pas2
2022-12-21	WINRED	contributed_to	$-15	pas2
2022-12-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$-15	pas2
2022-12-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$-15	pas2
2022-12-18	WINRED	contributed_to	$-15	pas2
2022-12-18	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-12-18	WINRED	contributed_to	$-15	pas2
2022-12-18	WINRED	contributed_to	$-8	pas2
2022-12-18	WINRED	contributed_to	$-15	pas2
2022-12-18	WINRED	contributed_to	$-8	pas2
2022-12-18	WINRED	contributed_to	$-15	pas2
2022-12-18	WINRED	contributed_to	$-8	pas2
2022-12-18	WINRED	contributed_to	$-8	pas2
2022-12-18	WINRED	contributed_to	$-8	pas2
2022-12-18	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-12-17	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-12-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-12-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-12-09	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-12-09	WINRED	contributed_to	$-15	pas2
2022-12-09	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-12-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-600	pas2
2022-12-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-12-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-12-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-250	pas2
2022-12-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-12-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-12-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-12-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-12-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-12-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-200	pas2
2022-12-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-12-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-12-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-12-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-12-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-12-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-12-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-12-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-12-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$-30	pas2
2022-12-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-12-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-12-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$-30	pas2
2022-12-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$-30	pas2
2022-12-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-12-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$-30	pas2
2022-12-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-06	WINRED	contributed_to	$-6	pas2
2022-12-05	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-12-05	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-12-01	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-12-01	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-12-01	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-12-01	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-12-01	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-12-01	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-12-01	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-12-01	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-12-01	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-11-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$-8	pas2
2022-11-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-11-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-6	pas2
2022-11-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-11-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-20	pas2
2022-11-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2

Outbound (2)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	SCHELLER FOR PA-07	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	SCHELLER FOR CONGRESS, INC.	—		candidate_committees

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