BOGNET, JIM

R · house

FEC candidate id: H0PA08221
Internal id: 2cde85f6-cf36-4a91-8dfe-6d98c782288a
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), PA-08. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	768,757
People	Median age	43
Income	Median household income	$67,979
Income	Per-capita income	$37,215
Income	In poverty	13.9%
Income	Unemployed	6.0%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.457
Race	White alone	74.9%
Race	Black alone	6.7%
Race	Asian alone	2.0%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	15.1%
Race	Two or more races	9.9%
Origin	Foreign-born	9.1%
Language	Speaks English only at home	85.6%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	9.8%
Education	High school or higher	63.5%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	27.4%
Education	Advanced degree	10.8%
Household	Family households	62.6%
Household	Avg household size	2.42
Household	Never married (15+)	34.8%
Housing	Median home value	$213,300
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,063
Housing	Single-family detached	71.0%
Housing	Built before 1940	6.8%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.6%
Housing	Vacant units	18.7%
Service	Veterans (18+)	6.6%
Health	With a disability	16.1%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	88.9%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	8.7%
Commute	Drove alone	74.1%
Commute	Public transit	1.2%
Commute	Worked from home	11.0%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$501	$20	$74,678	$0	$501
2024	$4,408	$26,294	$74,197	$0	$3,211
2022	$3,017,515	$3,054,919	$96,083	$6,000	$2,028,794
2020	$1,540,749	$1,407,262	$133,487	$0	$1,164,308

Elections

2020 general house · PA-8 — lost_general
2022 general house · PA-8 — lost_general

Committees

BOGNET FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
BOGNET FOR PA-08 — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$339,133	$5,793,133	112

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	HMP	oppose	$245,042	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$250,931	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$36,476	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$798,378	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$36,476	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$84,215	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$23,275	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$84,215	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$22,677	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	support	$941	IE- BOGNET- EMAIL MARKETING
—	HMP	oppose	$12,056	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$176,715	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	support	$797	IE- Bognet- Digital Marketing
—	HMP	oppose	$14,568	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$12,150	Digital Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$530,617	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	support	$2,300	IE- BOGNET- EMAIL MARKETING
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	support	$1,218	IE- BOGNET- TEXT MARKETING
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	support	$942	IE- BOGNET- DIGITAL MARKETING
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	support	$11,836	IE- BOGNET- DIRECT MAIL PRODUCTION
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	support	$21,551	IE- BOGNET- DIRECT MAIL PRODUCTION
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	support	$1,219	IE- BOGNET- DIGITAL MARKETING
—	HMP	oppose	$22,749	Direct Mail - Estimate
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	support	$1,295	IE- BOGNET- DIGITAL MARKETING
—	HMP	oppose	$12,150	Digital Production - Estimate

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
—	HMP	24A	$250,931
—	HMP	24A	$25,000
2025-04-25	OLD BREED PAC	24K	$-2,900
2022-12-31	WINRED	24K	$-12
2022-12-31	WINRED	24K	$-10
2022-12-28	WINRED	24K	$-15
2022-12-28	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-12-28	WINRED	24K	$-5
2022-12-26	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-12-24	WINRED	24K	$-12
2022-12-23	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-12-23	WINRED	24K	$-25
2022-12-23	WINRED	24K	$-24
2022-12-21	WINRED	24K	$-5
2022-12-21	WINRED	24K	$-17
2022-12-21	WINRED	24K	$-12
2022-12-21	WINRED	24K	$-10
2022-12-19	WINRED	24K	$-10
2022-12-18	WINRED	24K	$-2
2022-12-16	WINRED	24K	$-3
2022-12-15	WINRED	24K	$-12
2022-12-14	WINRED	24K	$-12
2022-12-14	WINRED	24K	$-12
2022-12-13	WINRED	24K	$-3
2022-12-13	WINRED	24K	$-15

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	HMP	contributed_to	$250,931	pas2
—	HMP	contributed_to	$25,000	pas2
—	NRDC ACTION VOTES	opposes_independently	$299,996	fec_ies
—	NRDC ACTION VOTES	opposes_independently	$11,772	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$14,150	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$12,150	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$22,677	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$36,476	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$33,704	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$245,042	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$14,347	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$23,338	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$23,275	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$10,607	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$250,931	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$12,056	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$36,476	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$84,215	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$12,150	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$33,704	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$530,617	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$25,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$176,715	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$798,378	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$84,215	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$14,568	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$22,749	fec_ies
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	supports_independently	$797	fec_ies
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	supports_independently	$11,836	fec_ies
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	supports_independently	$1,295	fec_ies
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	supports_independently	$2,300	fec_ies
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	supports_independently	$1,219	fec_ies
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	supports_independently	$1,218	fec_ies
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	supports_independently	$941	fec_ies
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	supports_independently	$942	fec_ies
—	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	supports_independently	$21,551	fec_ies
2025-04-25	OLD BREED PAC, INC.	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-12-31	WINRED	contributed_to	$-12	pas2
2022-12-31	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-12-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-15	pas2
2022-12-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-12-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-12-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-12-24	WINRED	contributed_to	$-12	pas2
2022-12-23	WINRED	contributed_to	$-24	pas2
2022-12-23	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-23	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-12-21	WINRED	contributed_to	$-12	pas2
2022-12-21	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-12-21	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-12-21	WINRED	contributed_to	$-17	pas2
2022-12-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-12-18	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-12-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-12-15	WINRED	contributed_to	$-12	pas2
2022-12-14	WINRED	contributed_to	$-12	pas2
2022-12-14	WINRED	contributed_to	$-12	pas2
2022-12-13	WINRED	contributed_to	$-15	pas2
2022-12-13	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-12-13	WINRED	contributed_to	$-3	pas2
2022-12-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-12-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$-15	pas2
2022-12-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-12-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-12-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-12-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-12-06	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-05	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-12-04	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-04	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-12-04	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-12-02	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-12-02	WINRED	contributed_to	$-20	pas2
2022-12-02	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-11-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-12	pas2
2022-11-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-11-24	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-11-24	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-11-24	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-11-23	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$1	pas2
2022-11-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-7	pas2
2022-11-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-40	pas2
2022-11-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-11-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-11-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-12	pas2
2022-11-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-11-21	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-11-21	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-11-17	WINRED	contributed_to	$-8	pas2
2022-11-17	WINRED	contributed_to	$-37	pas2
2022-11-17	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$7	pas2
2022-11-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-11-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$-37	pas2
2022-11-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-11-15	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-11-14	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-11-14	MAJORITY COMMITTEE PAC--MC PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-11-14	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-11-14	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2

Outbound (2)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	BOGNET FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	BOGNET FOR PA-08	—		candidate_committees

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