STOCKMAN, STEVE

R · house

FEC candidate id: H0TX09077
Internal id: ac32f455-a752-4402-9630-832bf093a522
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-09. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	776,446
People	Median age	35
Income	Median household income	$65,402
Income	Per-capita income	$33,936
Income	In poverty	18.5%
Income	Unemployed	7.1%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.473
Race	White alone	18.7%
Race	Black alone	35.8%
Race	Asian alone	9.7%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	38.9%
Race	Two or more races	20.0%
Origin	Foreign-born	29.1%
Language	Speaks English only at home	54.7%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	33.0%
Education	High school or higher	56.1%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	32.3%
Education	Advanced degree	13.3%
Household	Family households	66.3%
Household	Avg household size	2.71
Household	Never married (15+)	41.0%
Housing	Median home value	$248,200
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,310
Housing	Single-family detached	56.8%
Housing	Built before 1940	1.8%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	8.1%
Housing	Vacant units	8.0%
Service	Veterans (18+)	3.6%
Health	With a disability	12.0%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	90.6%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	7.2%
Commute	Drove alone	70.3%
Commute	Public transit	3.4%
Commute	Worked from home	10.6%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$251,742	$193,169	$58,573	$216,541	$12,025
2004	$0	$0	$90	$0	$0
2002	$39,711	$38,997	$90	$62,424	$36,987
2000	$22,526	$23,264	$-617	$94,826	$21,775
1998	$133,282	$136,706	$116	$138,108	$129,618
1996	$1,902,373	$1,901,978	$3,541	$134,108	$1,254,302
1994	$269,701	$265,950	$3,146	$99,826	$199,707
1992	$115,891	$114,897	$992	$65,936	$58,885
1990	$61,854	$61,830	$23	$44,226	$52,809

Elections

1990 general house · TX-9 — lost_general
1992 general house · TX-9 — lost_general
1994 general house · TX-9 — lost_general
1996 general house · TX-9 — lost_general
2026 general house · TX-9 — running

Committees

DRAFT STEVE STOCKMAN FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE — independent · type U
FRIENDS OF STEVE STOCKMAN — principal · type H
FRIENDS OF STEVE STOCKMAN — principal · type H
STOCKMAN FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-03-31	DRAFT STEVE STOCKMAN FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	24E	$149
2026-01-27	DRAFT STEVE STOCKMAN FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	24E	$3,300

Connected on the graph

Inbound (2)

date	from	type	amount	role	source
2026-03-31	DRAFT STEVE STOCKMAN FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$149		pas2
2026-01-27	DRAFT STEVE STOCKMAN FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$3,300		pas2

Outbound (4)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	independent_committee_of	DRAFT STEVE STOCKMAN FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	FRIENDS OF STEVE STOCKMAN	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	STOCKMAN FOR CONGRESS	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	FRIENDS OF STEVE STOCKMAN	—	candidate_committees

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