ARMENDARIZ-JACKSON, IRENE
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0TX16106- Internal id
54929249-84a3-4af4-a64b-1ffcd20a519a- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-16. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 776,702 |
| People | Median age | 34 |
| Income | Median household income | $60,388 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $29,243 |
| Income | In poverty | 18.4% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.469 |
| Race | White alone | 30.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 82.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 45.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 22.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 33.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 65.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 52.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 27.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.0% |
| Household | Family households | 70.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.82 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 35.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $185,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,082 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 68.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 5.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 75.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 8.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $64,300 | $65,048 | $0 | $0 | $60,238 |
| 2022 | $389,698 | $397,535 | $1,970 | $15,090 | $375,099 |
| 2020 | $171,497 | $156,171 | $16,242 | $15,090 | $144,488 |
Elections
- 2020 general house Β· TX-16 β lost_general
- 2022 general house Β· TX-16 β lost_general
- 2024 general house Β· TX-16 β lost_general
Committees
- IRENE FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-12-16 | WINRED | 24K | $-27 |
| 2022-12-03 | TEXAS ALLIANCE FOR LIFE FED PAC | 24E | $4 |
| 2022-11-04 | WINRED | 24K | $-27 |
| 2022-11-02 | TEXAS ALLIANCE FOR LIFE FED PAC | 24E | $4 |
| 2022-10-24 | TEXAS ALLIANCE FOR LIFE FED PAC | 24E | $4 |
| 2022-10-24 | WINRED | 24K | $-106 |
| 2022-10-20 | WINRED | 24K | $-27 |
| 2022-10-20 | WINRED | 24K | $-27 |
| 2022-10-20 | WINRED | 24K | $-27 |
| 2022-10-13 | BULLDOG PAC | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-09-25 | LATINOS FOR AMERICA FIRST | 24K | $250 |
| 2022-09-22 | TEXAS ALLIANCE FOR LIFE FED PAC | 24E | $15 |
| 2022-09-15 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-08-31 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-08-23 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2022-08-23 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2022-08-18 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
| 2022-07-30 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-07-23 | WINRED | 24K | $-15 |
| 2022-07-12 | BULLDOG PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-07-12 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-06-02 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-05-11 | WINRED | 24K | $-10 |
| 2022-05-03 | WINRED | 24K | $-10 |
| 2022-04-27 | WINRED | 24K | $-5 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (46)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-12-16 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-27 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-03 | TEXAS ALLIANCE FOR LIFE FED PAC | contributed_to | $4 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-04 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-27 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-02 | TEXAS ALLIANCE FOR LIFE FED PAC | contributed_to | $4 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-24 | TEXAS ALLIANCE FOR LIFE FED PAC | contributed_to | $4 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-24 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-106 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-27 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-27 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-27 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-13 | BULLDOG PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-25 | LATINOS FOR AMERICA FIRST | contributed_to | $250 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-22 | TEXAS ALLIANCE FOR LIFE FED PAC | contributed_to | $15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-31 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-23 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-23 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-18 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-23 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-12 | BULLDOG PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-11 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-11 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-11 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-09 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-27 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-04 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-12 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-29 | HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-21 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-19 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-27 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-07 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-29 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-13 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-17 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-11-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-25 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-20 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-11 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | contributed_to | $8 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | IRENE FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |