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PETRILLO, CARMINE III

D Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H0TX22344
Internal id
59555631-e5b2-4b71-a3ab-e8be19fa34fb
Status
open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-22. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation833,743
PeopleMedian age38
IncomeMedian household income$110,835
IncomePer-capita income$48,190
IncomeIn poverty8.0%
IncomeUnemployed4.9%
IncomeGini inequality index0.439
RaceWhite alone45.8%
RaceBlack alone12.2%
RaceAsian alone15.0%
RaceHispanic or Latino29.4%
RaceTwo or more races19.2%
OriginForeign-born24.1%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home64.5%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home19.4%
EducationHigh school or higher66.3%
EducationBachelor's or higher47.0%
EducationAdvanced degree18.3%
HouseholdFamily households78.5%
HouseholdAvg household size2.92
HouseholdNever married (15+)27.7%
HousingMedian home value$365,400
HousingMedian gross rent$1,663
HousingSingle-family detached78.4%
HousingBuilt before 19401.2%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)3.1%
HousingVacant units6.9%
ServiceVeterans (18+)5.3%
HealthWith a disability9.0%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband94.1%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet4.4%
CommuteDrove alone71.5%
CommutePublic transit0.7%
CommuteWorked from home16.6%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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