COLLINS, GENEVIEVE D

R · house

FEC candidate id: H0TX32087
Internal id: 07f1c702-fed7-47ca-a7fe-fc3b6b99b5f9
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-32. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	767,505
People	Median age	33
Income	Median household income	$72,034
Income	Per-capita income	$43,812
Income	In poverty	14.1%
Income	Unemployed	4.6%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.483
Race	White alone	37.5%
Race	Black alone	20.8%
Race	Asian alone	8.4%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	36.4%
Race	Two or more races	22.6%
Origin	Foreign-born	26.8%
Language	Speaks English only at home	57.8%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	29.4%
Education	High school or higher	60.4%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	40.7%
Education	Advanced degree	15.4%
Household	Family households	54.0%
Household	Avg household size	2.38
Household	Never married (15+)	42.6%
Housing	Median home value	$347,700
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,511
Housing	Single-family detached	37.3%
Housing	Built before 1940	2.0%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	6.1%
Housing	Vacant units	8.8%
Service	Veterans (18+)	3.8%
Health	With a disability	9.7%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	92.4%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	5.3%
Commute	Drove alone	67.2%
Commute	Public transit	1.9%
Commute	Worked from home	17.6%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2022	$32,019	$39,844	$0	$0	$0
2020	$6,014,679	$6,006,854	$7,825	$500,000	$3,208,411

Elections

2020 general house · TX-32 — lost_general
2022 general house · TX-32 — lost_general

Committees

COLLINS FOR TEXAS — principal · type H
COLLINS FOR TX-32 — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2021-09-07	WINRED	24K	$-1
2021-06-24	WINRED	24K	$1
2021-06-11	PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES	24A	$8
2021-04-22	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-04-13	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-04-09	FRIENDS OF SUSAN BROOKS	24K	$-1,000
2021-03-30	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-02-18	WINRED	24K	$2
2021-02-08	WINRED	24K	$6
2021-02-01	FIRST IN FREEDOM PAC	24K	$-1,500
2021-01-30	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-01-29	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-01-24	WINRED	24K	$25
2021-01-22	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-01-19	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-01-12	WINRED	24K	$15
2021-01-12	WINRED	24K	$15
2021-01-12	WINRED	24K	$15
2021-01-09	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-01-07	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-01-06	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-01-06	WINRED	24K	$4

Connected on the graph

Inbound (31)

date	from	type	amount	role	source
2021-09-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1		pas2
2021-06-24	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1	24K	fec_pas2
2021-06-24	WINRED	contributed_to	$1		pas2
2021-06-11	PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$8	24A	fec_pas2
2021-06-11	PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES	contributed_to	$8		pas2
2021-04-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-04-13	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-04-09	FRIENDS OF SUSAN BROOKS	contributed_to	$-1,000		pas2
2021-03-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-02-18	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2	24K	fec_pas2
2021-02-18	WINRED	contributed_to	$2		pas2
2021-02-08	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$6	24K	fec_pas2
2021-02-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$6		pas2
2021-02-01	FIRST IN FREEDOM PAC	contributed_to	$-1,500		pas2
2021-01-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-01-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-01-24	WINRED	contributed_to	$25		pas2
2021-01-24	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$25	24K	fec_pas2
2021-01-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-01-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-01-12	WINRED	contributed_to	$15		pas2
2021-01-12	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$15	24K	fec_pas2
2021-01-12	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$15	24K	fec_pas2
2021-01-12	WINRED	contributed_to	$15		pas2
2021-01-12	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$15	24K	fec_pas2
2021-01-12	WINRED	contributed_to	$15		pas2
2021-01-09	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-01-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-01-06	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$4	24K	fec_pas2
2021-01-06	WINRED	contributed_to	$4		pas2
2021-01-06	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2

Outbound (2)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	COLLINS FOR TEXAS	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	COLLINS FOR TX-32	—		candidate_committees

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