SMITH, CHUCK
R Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H0VA02068- Internal id
dbd3ff8c-d384-4967-97bd-9831edf977f6- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), VA-03. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 776,096 |
| People | Median age | 35 |
| Income | Median household income | $67,878 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $38,049 |
| Income | In poverty | 15.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.454 |
| Race | White alone | 40.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 43.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 8.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 9.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 90.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 5.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 57.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 30.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.8% |
| Household | Family households | 58.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.35 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 40.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $269,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,359 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 55.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 7.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 14.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 73.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | $0 | $9,317 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2010 | $91,136 | $81,967 | $9,317 | $0 | $82,379 |
Elections
Committees
- VIRGINIANS FOR CHUCK SMITH β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | VIRGINIANS FOR CHUCK SMITH | β | candidate_committees |