TAYLOR, SCOTT W. MR.

R · house · bioguide T000477

FEC candidate id: H0VA02118
Internal id: e3c81b2b-a9e6-4e52-b687-4e765d857cea
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), VA-02. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	787,890
People	Median age	39
Income	Median household income	$93,757
Income	Per-capita income	$47,696
Income	In poverty	8.5%
Income	Unemployed	3.9%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.433
Race	White alone	60.2%
Race	Black alone	22.4%
Race	Asian alone	5.4%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	7.9%
Race	Two or more races	9.2%
Origin	Foreign-born	7.6%
Language	Speaks English only at home	89.8%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	4.1%
Education	High school or higher	62.5%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	38.7%
Education	Advanced degree	14.9%
Household	Family households	68.2%
Household	Avg household size	2.52
Household	Never married (15+)	30.3%
Housing	Median home value	$377,200
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,647
Housing	Single-family detached	63.1%
Housing	Built before 1940	2.0%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.2%
Housing	Vacant units	8.1%
Service	Veterans (18+)	15.2%
Health	With a disability	12.8%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	92.8%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	5.1%
Commute	Drove alone	75.2%
Commute	Public transit	0.6%
Commute	Worked from home	13.4%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2022	$8,733	$31,347	$0	$0	$2,100
2020	$2,517,871	$2,511,989	$22,613	$6,746	$2,025,363
2018	$4,035,206	$4,083,442	$16,731	$68,375	$2,675,291
2016	$870,985	$806,018	$64,967	$28,715	$520,153
2010	$72,693	$64,798	$34,282	$0	$62,693

Elections

2010 general house · VA-2 — won
2016 general house · VA-2 — won
2018 general house · VA-2 — lost_general
2020 general house · VA-2 — lost_general

Committees

SCOTT TAYLOR FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
SCOTT TAYLOR FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
TAYLOR FOR CONGRESS 2020 — principal · type H
TAYLOR FOR VA-02 — principal · type H

Recent votes

No votes on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-06-30	ASSOCIATED BUILDERS AND CONTRACTORS, INC. POLIT…	24K	$-2,500
2021-09-07	WINRED	24K	$-1
2021-06-24	WINRED	24K	$1
2021-06-11	PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES	24A	$8
2021-05-07	TRIDENT PAC	24K	$5,000
2021-04-22	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-04-13	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-03-30	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-03-25	AMERICAN CRYSTAL SUGAR COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION…	24K	$5,000
2021-03-16	WINRED	24K	$12
2021-03-16	WINRED	24K	$12
2021-02-18	WINRED	24K	$2
2021-02-08	WINRED	24K	$9
2021-02-07	WINRED	24K	$22
2021-02-07	WINRED	24K	$22
2021-01-30	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-01-29	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-01-22	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-01-22	WINRED	24K	$4
2021-01-19	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-01-09	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-01-07	WINRED	24K	$18
2021-01-07	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-01-06	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-01-02	WINRED	24K	$100

Connected on the graph

Inbound (38)

date	from	type	amount	role	source
2022-06-30	ASSOCIATED BUILDERS AND CONTRACTORS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ABC PAC)	contributed_to	$-2,500		pas2
2021-09-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1		pas2
2021-06-24	WINRED	contributed_to	$1		pas2
2021-06-24	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1	24K	fec_pas2
2021-06-11	PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$8	24A	fec_pas2
2021-06-11	PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES	contributed_to	$8		pas2
2021-05-07	TRIDENT PAC	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2
2021-05-07	TRIDENT PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2021-04-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-04-13	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-03-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-03-25	AMERICAN CRYSTAL SUGAR COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2021-03-25	AMERICAN CRYSTAL SUGAR COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2
2021-03-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$12		pas2
2021-03-16	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$12	24K	fec_pas2
2021-03-16	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$12	24K	fec_pas2
2021-03-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$12		pas2
2021-02-18	WINRED	contributed_to	$2		pas2
2021-02-18	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2	24K	fec_pas2
2021-02-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$9		pas2
2021-02-08	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$9	24K	fec_pas2
2021-02-07	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$22	24K	fec_pas2
2021-02-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$22		pas2
2021-02-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$22		pas2
2021-02-07	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$22	24K	fec_pas2
2021-01-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-01-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-01-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-01-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$4		pas2
2021-01-22	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$4	24K	fec_pas2
2021-01-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-01-09	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-01-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-01-07	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$18	24K	fec_pas2
2021-01-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$18		pas2
2021-01-06	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-01-02	WINRED	contributed_to	$100		pas2
2021-01-02	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$100	24K	fec_pas2

Outbound (9)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	educated_at	Harvard Extension School	—	wikidata
—	educated_at	Old Dominion University	—	wikidata
—	educated_at	Mardela Middle and High School	—	wikidata
—	principal_candidate_of	SCOTT TAYLOR FOR CONGRESS	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	SCOTT TAYLOR FOR CONGRESS	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	TAYLOR FOR CONGRESS 2020	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	TAYLOR FOR VA-02	—	candidate_committees
2017-01-03	held_position	United States representative	—	wikidata
2014-01-01	held_position	member of the Virginia House of Delegates	—	wikidata

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