BELL, JAROME

R · house

FEC candidate id: H0VA02175
Internal id: e4f4f415-7938-46fb-ad33-70a3fbd9bfc9
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), VA-02. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	787,890
People	Median age	39
Income	Median household income	$93,757
Income	Per-capita income	$47,696
Income	In poverty	8.5%
Income	Unemployed	3.9%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.433
Race	White alone	60.2%
Race	Black alone	22.4%
Race	Asian alone	5.4%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	7.9%
Race	Two or more races	9.2%
Origin	Foreign-born	7.6%
Language	Speaks English only at home	89.8%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	4.1%
Education	High school or higher	62.5%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	38.7%
Education	Advanced degree	14.9%
Household	Family households	68.2%
Household	Avg household size	2.52
Household	Never married (15+)	30.3%
Housing	Median home value	$377,200
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,647
Housing	Single-family detached	63.1%
Housing	Built before 1940	2.0%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.2%
Housing	Vacant units	8.1%
Service	Veterans (18+)	15.2%
Health	With a disability	12.8%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	92.8%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	5.1%
Commute	Drove alone	75.2%
Commute	Public transit	0.6%
Commute	Worked from home	13.4%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$0	$0	$0	$0	$0
2022	$552,483	$552,939	$0	$0	$505,820
2020	$260,704	$260,272	$457	$0	$255,609

Elections

2020 general house · VA-2 — lost_general
2022 general house · VA-2 — lost_general

Committees

JAROME BELL FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$54,716	$303,479	6

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2022-06-13	PATRIOT MAJORITY PAC	oppose	$2,223	Radio Production - 'Trump Wins, Too' (Estimate)
2022-06-13	PATRIOT MAJORITY PAC	oppose	$12,216	Television Production - 'Trump Wins, Too' (Estimate)
2022-06-13	PATRIOT MAJORITY PAC	oppose	$268,236	Television Advertising - 'Trump Wins, Too'
2022-06-13	PATRIOT MAJORITY PAC	oppose	$20,804	Radio Advertising - 'Trump Wins, Too'
2022-06-01	FREE AMERICAN PAC	support	$32,877	Direct Mail
2022-06-01	FREE AMERICAN PAC	support	$21,839	Radio Advertising

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-06-13	PATRIOT MAJORITY PAC	24A	$2,222
2022-06-13	PATRIOT MAJORITY PAC	24A	$20,804
2022-06-13	PATRIOT MAJORITY PAC	24A	$12,216
2022-06-13	PATRIOT MAJORITY PAC	24A	$268,236
2022-06-03	GOOD FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2022-06-03	VA CONSERVATIVE LEADERSHIP FUND	24K	$2,500
2022-06-01	FREE AMERICAN PAC	24E	$32,876
2022-06-01	FREE AMERICAN PAC	24E	$21,839
2022-05-25	FREEDOM FIRST PAC	24K	$2,000
2022-04-14	KIM KLACIK FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2021-09-29	KIM KLACIK FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2021-04-22	BLACK AMERICA'S POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$2,800

Connected on the graph

Inbound (18)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-06-13	PATRIOT MAJORITY PAC	contributed_to	$12,216	pas2
2022-06-13	PATRIOT MAJORITY PAC	contributed_to	$20,804	pas2
2022-06-13	PATRIOT MAJORITY PAC	opposes_independently	$2,223	fec_ies
2022-06-13	PATRIOT MAJORITY PAC	opposes_independently	$12,216	fec_ies
2022-06-13	PATRIOT MAJORITY PAC	opposes_independently	$268,236	fec_ies
2022-06-13	PATRIOT MAJORITY PAC	opposes_independently	$20,804	fec_ies
2022-06-13	PATRIOT MAJORITY PAC	contributed_to	$268,236	pas2
2022-06-13	PATRIOT MAJORITY PAC	contributed_to	$2,222	pas2
2022-06-03	GOOD FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-06-03	VA CONSERVATIVE LEADERSHIP FUND	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-06-01	FREE AMERICAN PAC	supports_independently	$32,877	fec_ies
2022-06-01	FREE AMERICAN PAC	supports_independently	$21,839	fec_ies
2022-06-01	FREE AMERICAN PAC	contributed_to	$32,876	pas2
2022-06-01	FREE AMERICAN PAC	contributed_to	$21,839	pas2
2022-05-25	FREEDOM FIRST PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-04-14	KIM KLACIK FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-09-29	KIM KLACIK FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-04-22	BLACK AMERICA'S POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,800	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	JAROME BELL FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

pac.dog is a free, independent, non-partisan research tool. Every candidate, committee, bill, vote, member, and nonprofit on this site is mirrored from primary U.S. government sources (FEC, congress.gov, govinfo.gov, IRS) and each state's Secretary of State / election commission — no third-party data vendors, no paywall, no editorial intermediation. Citations to the originating source are on every detail page.