FREITAS, NICK J

R · house

FEC candidate id: H0VA07158
Internal id: 488d8158-e9d5-47d0-b6e2-65fd810a54a0
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), VA-07. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	806,870
People	Median age	37
Income	Median household income	$113,817
Income	Per-capita income	$47,986
Income	In poverty	7.3%
Income	Unemployed	4.5%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.399
Race	White alone	52.9%
Race	Black alone	20.3%
Race	Asian alone	5.2%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	17.9%
Race	Two or more races	12.3%
Origin	Foreign-born	16.3%
Language	Speaks English only at home	77.3%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	13.1%
Education	High school or higher	63.0%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	37.7%
Education	Advanced degree	15.1%
Household	Family households	73.3%
Household	Avg household size	2.87
Household	Never married (15+)	31.7%
Housing	Median home value	$438,000
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,813
Housing	Single-family detached	68.3%
Housing	Built before 1940	1.5%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	3.0%
Housing	Vacant units	4.9%
Service	Veterans (18+)	12.9%
Health	With a disability	10.4%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	94.8%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	3.9%
Commute	Drove alone	68.2%
Commute	Public transit	1.9%
Commute	Worked from home	16.6%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2022	$2,542	$31,865	$0	$0	$-63
2020	$3,670,266	$3,640,943	$29,323	$0	$3,170,609

Elections

2020 general house · VA-7 — lost_general

Committees

FREITAS FOR VA-07 — principal · type H
FRIENDS OF NICK FREITAS INC — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2021-10-04	WINRED	24K	$-1
2021-09-07	WINRED	24K	$-1
2021-06-24	WINRED	24K	$1
2021-06-11	PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES	24A	$8
2021-04-22	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-04-13	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-03-30	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-02-18	WINRED	24K	$2
2021-01-30	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-01-29	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-01-28	WINRED	24K	$9
2021-01-22	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-01-21	WINRED	24K	$1
2021-01-19	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-01-17	WINRED	24K	$6
2021-01-15	WINRED	24K	$6
2021-01-13	WINRED	24K	$6
2021-01-09	WINRED	24K	$5
2021-01-09	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-01-07	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-01-07	WINRED	24K	$15
2021-01-06	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-01-04	WINRED	24K	$8
2021-01-03	WINRED	24K	$0
2021-01-01	WINRED	24K	$2

Connected on the graph

Inbound (37)

date	from	type	amount	role	source
2021-10-04	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1		pas2
2021-09-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1		pas2
2021-06-24	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1	24K	fec_pas2
2021-06-24	WINRED	contributed_to	$1		pas2
2021-06-11	PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES	contributed_to	$8		pas2
2021-06-11	PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$8	24A	fec_pas2
2021-04-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-04-13	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-03-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-02-18	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2	24K	fec_pas2
2021-02-18	WINRED	contributed_to	$2		pas2
2021-01-30	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-01-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-01-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$9		pas2
2021-01-28	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$9	24K	fec_pas2
2021-01-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-01-21	WINRED	contributed_to	$1		pas2
2021-01-21	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1	24K	fec_pas2
2021-01-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-01-17	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$6	24K	fec_pas2
2021-01-17	WINRED	contributed_to	$6		pas2
2021-01-15	WINRED	contributed_to	$6		pas2
2021-01-15	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$6	24K	fec_pas2
2021-01-13	WINRED	contributed_to	$6		pas2
2021-01-13	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$6	24K	fec_pas2
2021-01-09	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-01-09	WINRED	contributed_to	$5		pas2
2021-01-09	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5	24K	fec_pas2
2021-01-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$15		pas2
2021-01-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-01-07	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$15	24K	fec_pas2
2021-01-06	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-01-04	WINRED	contributed_to	$8		pas2
2021-01-04	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$8	24K	fec_pas2
2021-01-03	WINRED	contributed_to	$0		pas2
2021-01-01	WINRED	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2	24K	fec_pas2
2021-01-01	WINRED	contributed_to	$2		pas2

Outbound (2)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	FREITAS FOR VA-07	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	FRIENDS OF NICK FREITAS INC	—		candidate_committees

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