DOTSON, DAVID L

L · house

FEC candidate id: H0VA11085
Internal id: 4faa7746-59d3-45d8-9367-fd93398050ff
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), VA-11. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	785,090
People	Median age	39
Income	Median household income	$160,992
Income	Per-capita income	$73,187
Income	In poverty	5.1%
Income	Unemployed	4.0%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.411
Race	White alone	50.3%
Race	Black alone	8.5%
Race	Asian alone	22.3%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	14.8%
Race	Two or more races	12.8%
Origin	Foreign-born	30.7%
Language	Speaks English only at home	61.8%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	11.1%
Education	High school or higher	78.9%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	68.3%
Education	Advanced degree	34.2%
Household	Family households	70.6%
Household	Avg household size	2.74
Household	Never married (15+)	31.8%
Housing	Median home value	$731,100
Housing	Median gross rent	$2,367
Housing	Single-family detached	44.7%
Housing	Built before 1940	0.6%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.8%
Housing	Vacant units	3.3%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.4%
Health	With a disability	7.4%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	97.4%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	1.3%
Commute	Drove alone	55.1%
Commute	Public transit	4.0%
Commute	Worked from home	30.3%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2018	$0	$0	$0	$0	$0
2014	$0	$557	$557	$0	$0
2012	$100	$141	$557	$0	$100
2010	$1,800	$1,194	$602	$0	$335

Elections

2010 general house · VA-11 — lost_general

Committees

DOTSON FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
HOWARD FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-03-18	CHANGE FOR MONROE	24A	$8
2026-03-17	CHANGE FOR MONROE	24A	$8
2026-03-16	CHANGE FOR MONROE	24A	$24
2026-03-16	CHANGE FOR MONROE	24A	$1
2026-03-13	CHANGE FOR MONROE	24A	$101
2026-03-11	CHANGE FOR MONROE	24A	$3
2026-03-10	CHANGE FOR MONROE	24A	$10
2026-03-10	CHANGE FOR MONROE	24A	$74
2026-03-10	CHANGE FOR MONROE	24A	$2
2026-03-09	CHANGE FOR MONROE	24A	$41
2026-03-09	CHANGE FOR MONROE	24A	$37
2026-03-06	CHANGE FOR MONROE	24A	$420
2026-02-11	CHANGE FOR MONROE	24A	$3
2026-01-13	CHANGE FOR MONROE	24A	$3
2026-01-10	CHANGE FOR MONROE	24A	$10
2026-01-06	CHANGE FOR MONROE	24A	$3

Connected on the graph

Inbound (32)

date	from	type	amount	role	source
2026-03-18	CHANGE FOR MONROE	contributed_to	$8		pas2
2026-03-18	CHANGE FOR MONROE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$8	24A	fec_pas2
2026-03-17	CHANGE FOR MONROE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$8	24A	fec_pas2
2026-03-17	CHANGE FOR MONROE	contributed_to	$8		pas2
2026-03-16	CHANGE FOR MONROE	contributed_to	$24		pas2
2026-03-16	CHANGE FOR MONROE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$24	24A	fec_pas2
2026-03-16	CHANGE FOR MONROE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1	24A	fec_pas2
2026-03-16	CHANGE FOR MONROE	contributed_to	$1		pas2
2026-03-13	CHANGE FOR MONROE	contributed_to	$101		pas2
2026-03-13	CHANGE FOR MONROE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$101	24A	fec_pas2
2026-03-11	CHANGE FOR MONROE	contributed_to	$3		pas2
2026-03-11	CHANGE FOR MONROE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$3	24A	fec_pas2
2026-03-10	CHANGE FOR MONROE	contributed_to	$2		pas2
2026-03-10	CHANGE FOR MONROE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$10	24A	fec_pas2
2026-03-10	CHANGE FOR MONROE	contributed_to	$10		pas2
2026-03-10	CHANGE FOR MONROE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2	24A	fec_pas2
2026-03-10	CHANGE FOR MONROE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$74	24A	fec_pas2
2026-03-10	CHANGE FOR MONROE	contributed_to	$74		pas2
2026-03-09	CHANGE FOR MONROE	contributed_to	$37		pas2
2026-03-09	CHANGE FOR MONROE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$41	24A	fec_pas2
2026-03-09	CHANGE FOR MONROE	contributed_to	$41		pas2
2026-03-09	CHANGE FOR MONROE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$37	24A	fec_pas2
2026-03-06	CHANGE FOR MONROE	contributed_to	$420		pas2
2026-03-06	CHANGE FOR MONROE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$420	24A	fec_pas2
2026-02-11	CHANGE FOR MONROE	contributed_to	$3		pas2
2026-02-11	CHANGE FOR MONROE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$3	24A	fec_pas2
2026-01-13	CHANGE FOR MONROE	contributed_to	$3		pas2
2026-01-13	CHANGE FOR MONROE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$3	24A	fec_pas2
2026-01-10	CHANGE FOR MONROE	contributed_to	$10		pas2
2026-01-10	CHANGE FOR MONROE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$10	24A	fec_pas2
2026-01-06	CHANGE FOR MONROE	contributed_to	$3		pas2
2026-01-06	CHANGE FOR MONROE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$3	24A	fec_pas2

Outbound (2)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	DOTSON FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	HOWARD FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	—		candidate_committees

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