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ADAIR, ROBIN

OTHER Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H0WA08095
Internal id
b2a72d36-b9d5-4245-a0ae-c28f00ed0fed
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), WA-08. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation781,768
PeopleMedian age39
IncomeMedian household income$127,442
IncomePer-capita income$61,542
IncomeIn poverty6.2%
IncomeUnemployed4.1%
IncomeGini inequality index0.450
RaceWhite alone69.5%
RaceBlack alone2.0%
RaceAsian alone11.1%
RaceHispanic or Latino11.4%
RaceTwo or more races11.5%
OriginForeign-born15.3%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home80.5%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home6.7%
EducationHigh school or higher63.3%
EducationBachelor's or higher42.0%
EducationAdvanced degree15.9%
HouseholdFamily households74.8%
HouseholdAvg household size2.77
HouseholdNever married (15+)26.4%
HousingMedian home value$695,500
HousingMedian gross rent$1,924
HousingSingle-family detached77.0%
HousingBuilt before 19401.8%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.8%
HousingVacant units7.8%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.5%
HealthWith a disability11.0%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband94.9%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet3.2%
CommuteDrove alone65.5%
CommutePublic transit1.4%
CommuteWorked from home21.6%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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