CAPITO, SHELLEY MOORE MS.
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0WV02138- Internal id
cc10a673-8914-4c51-87a9-b0415676b246- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), WV-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 901,304 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $64,829 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $36,487 |
| Income | In poverty | 14.7% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.460 |
| Race | White alone | 89.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 2.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 5.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 2.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 96.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 64.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 26.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.7% |
| Household | Family households | 62.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.37 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $192,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $895 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 71.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 13.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 87.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 9.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 76.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.2% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | $5,135 | $37,163 | $0 | $0 | $455 |
| 2012 | $2,449,473 | $3,001,167 | $32,029 | $0 | $1,249,765 |
| 2010 | $1,531,270 | $996,568 | $583,722 | $0 | $773,821 |
| 2008 | $2,217,694 | $2,330,542 | $49,020 | $0 | $1,257,081 |
| 2006 | $2,476,770 | $3,183,205 | $161,868 | $0 | $1,527,017 |
| 2004 | $1,604,884 | $1,655,467 | $81,976 | $0 | $740,077 |
| 2002 | $2,585,442 | $2,531,880 | $132,559 | $0 | $1,261,752 |
| 2000 | $1,367,504 | $1,288,226 | $78,997 | $83,853 | $701,164 |
Elections
- 2000 general house Β· WV-2 β lost_general
- 2002 general house Β· WV-2 β running
- 2004 general house Β· WV-2 β running
- 2006 general house Β· WV-2 β running
- 2008 general house Β· WV-2 β running
- 2010 general house Β· WV-2 β running
- 2012 general house Β· WV-2 β running
- 2014 general house Β· WV-2 β lost_general
Committees
- PHYSICIANS TO RETAIN OUR MAJORITY - PROM β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- ROMP II 2008 β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- SHELLEY MOORE CAPITO FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-25 | KELLEY DRYE & WARREN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2025-06-18 | ALLIANT ENERGY CORPORATION EMPLOYEE'S POLITICAL⦠| 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-09-27 | KELLEY DRYE & WARREN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2021-11-17 | AMERICAN CONCRETE PIPE ASSOCIATION PAC | 24K | $2,500 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (4)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-25 | KELLEY DRYE & WARREN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-06-18 | ALLIANT ENERGY CORPORATION EMPLOYEE'S POLITICAL ACTION COMM | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-27 | KELLEY DRYE & WARREN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2021-11-17 | AMERICAN CONCRETE PIPE ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 |
Outbound (3)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | ROMP II 2008 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | PHYSICIANS TO RETAIN OUR MAJORITY - PROM | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | SHELLEY MOORE CAPITO FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |